Southampton vs Brighton Prediction, 12/4/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/3/2021

soccer picks James Ward-Prowse Southampton predictions best bet odds

Game: Southampton vs Brighton

Date: Saturday, December 4, 2021

Location: St. Mary's Stadium in Southampton, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Southampton (+155) Brighton (+170)

St. Mary's Stadium is the venue where Che Adams and Southampton (3-6-5, 15th in the EPL) will play Brighton (4-7-3, 9th in the EPL) on Saturday. The goalkeepers protecting the net will be Alex McCarthy for Southampton and Robert Sanchez for Brighton. The odds on this game have Southampton priced at +155 and the Seagulls are at +170. The over/under opens at 2.5.

Southampton took the field against Leicester City in their most recent game and got the draw with a final of 2-2. In sharing the ball, they ended with a 78.3% passes received percentage by completing 278 of the 355 pass attempts in their last match. Southampton tried 10 dribbles in this matchup and successfully completed 5 of the tries for a percentage of 50.0%.

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In regard to shooting accuracy, Southampton finished at a 46.7% rate by landing 7 shots on target of 15 shots. Southampton is averaging 0.86 g/90 (12 goals in total) and are sitting with 7 assists in all contests for the year.

Che Adams is a player who should impact this matchup for Southampton. He has accounted for 19 assists while tallying 16 yellow card cautions so far in his pro soccer career. Adams has started 173 outings so far in his career and he tallies 0.35 goals per 90 mins. The forward from England has 61 goals in 15,558 mins.

Another player who could decide the outcome is Adam Armstrong, the forward representing England. Armstrong has been on the field for 19,182 mins during 214 career starts and has earned himself a total of 10 yellow card cautions. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 30 times during his pro soccer career while he has scored 87 total goals. He scores 0.41 goals per 90 minutes for his pro soccer career.

The man who will protect the net for Southampton is Alex McCarthy. McCarthy has seen the pitch for a total of 23,510 minutes and is sitting with 866 saves in his career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.5 (382 goals allowed) and he holds a save % of 69.9. The goalie from England has had 1,236 shots sent his way in 261 starts. McCarthy (84-76-102 mark during his career) has 63 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 24.1% shutout rate.

In their last game, Brighton went home with a draw by a final score of 1-1 against West Ham United. Brighton earned a 76.5% successful dribble rate by connecting on 13 out of the 17 dribbles they attempted. They finished this game by connecting on 500 out of their 538 passes they tried for a rate of 92.9%. Brighton converted 3 shots tried out of their 9 shots tried which had them sitting at a 33.3% clip in their last outing. With a total of 13 goals and 10 assists in all their games, Brighton averages 0.93 goals and 0.71 assists per 90 minutes.

Leandro Trossard will be someone to watch for Brighton. The forward hailing from Belgium has 16,265 minutes and has scored 65 goals. He has accounted for 13 yellow card warnings in his career and has assisted on a goal 26 times. He scores 0.36 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 183 outings during his career. Make sure to keep an eye out for Neal Maupay, the forward representing France. Maupay has been given a total of 37 yellow card cautions in 16,441 minutes played (180 starts). His goals per 90 min average so far in his career is 0.43. He has accounted for 78 goals during his pro soccer career while helping on a goal 21 different times.

Robert Sanchez will look after the goal for Brighton. In his career, Sanchez has allowed 84 goals while earning 187 saves in 66 starting assignments. He has given up 1.27 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 19-22-25. He holds a save % of 70.5 and his shutout rate is currently at 31.8%. Sanchez has racked up 21 clean sheets while he has seen 264 shots tried against him in 5,939 minutes in his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Southampton (+155)

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Southampton vs Brighton Prediction, 12/4/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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