Real Madrid vs Atalanta Prediction, 3/16/2021 Champions League Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/11/2021

Game: Real Madrid vs Atalanta

Date: Tuesday, March 16, 2021

Location: Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano in Madrid, Spain

TV: CBS All Access

Odds/Point Spread: Real Madrid (-116) Atalanta (+245)

Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano is the site where Karim Benzema and Real Madrid (4-1-2 in Champions League) will play Atalanta (3-2-2 in Champions League) on Tuesday. The goalies protecting the net will be Thibaut Courtois for Real Madrid and Pierluigi Gollini for Atalanta. The moneyline on this matchup has Real Madrid coming in at -116 and Atalanta are at +245. The O/U opens at 2.5.

Real Madrid faced Atlético Madrid in their most recent game and earned a one point draw by a score of 1-1. When discussing the passing game, they finished this match with a 89.0% passes received percentage by converting 591 of the 664 pass attempts in their last match. Real Madrid tried 24 dribbles in this outing and were able to convert 8 of those attempts for a rate of 33.3%. In terms of shooting accuracy, Real Madrid ended this match at a 44.4% clip by hitting 8 shots on target of 18 total shots. Real Madrid averages 1.58 goals per 90 minutes (41 total goals) and have tallied 33 assists in all games this season.

Karim Benzema is a guy who should impact this matchup for Real Madrid. He has totaled 99 assists while earning 10 yellow card warnings in his pro soccer career. Benzema has started 390 matches thus far in his career and has 0.61 G/90. The forward representing France has racked up 225 goals scored in 33,394 minutes played. Another guy who could decide the outcome is Toni Kroos, the midfielder representing Germany. He has assisted on a goal 82 times during his career while scoring 40 total goals. Kroos has accumulated 28,879 minutes in 330 starts and has been handed 51 yellow card warnings. He scores 0.12 goals per 90 mins so far in his career.

The man defending the goal for Real Madrid will be Thibaut Courtois. Courtois (218-77-67 mark in his career) has recorded 159 shutouts, which has earned him a 43.6% clean sheet percentage. The keeper representing Real Madrid has faced 1,156 shots attempted at him in 365 career starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 0.92 (333 goals conceded) and he has earned a save % of 72.6. Courtois has defended the goal for a total of 32,664 minutes and has 838 stops thus far in his career.

For their last game, Atalanta took a loss by a final score of 1-0 against Inter. Atalanta finished with a 52.4% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 11 of the 21 dribbles they tried. They wrapped up this contest by converting 550 of the 631 passing attempts for a rate of 87.2%. Atalanta connected on 2 shots on target out of their 13 shots attempted which gave them a 15.4% clip in their last game. Having accumulated 59 goals and 41 assists in all their games, Atalanta is averaging 2.27 goals and 1.58 assists per 90 minutes.

Duvan Zapata should provide solid play for Atalanta. The forward representing Colombia has earned 14,428 minutes and has scored 90 goals. He has totaled 20 yellow card cautions so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 30 times. He scores 0.56 G/90 and has been given a starting assignment in 163 games in his pro soccer career. Be sure to watch out for Luis Muriel, the forward taking the field for Atalanta. He has scored 90 goals so far in his pro soccer career while assisting a teammate on a goal 33 different times. Muriel has been handed a total of 28 yellow card warnings in 15,685 minutes played (169 career starts). His goals per 90 minute average in his career is 0.52.

Pierluigi Gollini will be looking after the goal for Atalanta. Gollini has recorded 30 clean sheets while he has seen 463 shots against him in 11,336 mins in his career. He sports a save % of 69.5 and his clean sheet rate is 23.6%. He has surrendered 1.21 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a record of 54-43-31. During his pro soccer career, Gollini has surrendered 152 goals and has totaled 321 stops in 127 starts.

Who will win tonight's Champions League game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atalanta (+245)

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Real Madrid vs Atalanta Prediction, 3/16/2021 Champions League Pick, Tips and Odds

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