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New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, 9/25/2021 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/23/2021

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Game: New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls

Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: New York City (-213) New York (+450)

Patryk Klimala and the New York Red Bulls (7-6-11, 11th in Eastern Conference) go to Yankee Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on New York City FC (11-6-8, 3rd in Eastern Conference). The expected starting goalies will be Sean Johnson for New York City FC and Carlos Miguel Coronel for the New York Red Bulls. NYCFC is priced at -213 while the Red Bulls are at +450. The over/under has been set at 2.5.

New York City faced New York in their most recent match and finished with a draw by a score of 1-1. NYCFC attempted 13 dribbles in this matchup and were able to convert 8 of those attempts for a rate of 61.5%. When talking about passing the ball, they finished with a 84.2% passes received percentage by connecting on 271 out of their 322 pass attempts in their last outing.

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In regard to shooting accuracy, New York City ended this match at a 50.0% clip by putting 6 shots on target out of 12 shots. New York City sports an average of 1.72 goals per 90 min (43 goals in total) and are sitting with 31 assists in all games for the season.

Maximiliano Moralez is a guy who should be able to impact this game for New York City FC. He has 66 assists while tallying 39 yellow card warnings in his pro soccer career. Moralez has started 258 matches in his career while scoring 0.19 goals per 90. The forward born in Argentina has accumulated 47 goals in 22,524 minutes.

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One more player who could decide who wins is Valentin Castellanos, the forward representing Argentina. He has assisted on a goal 15 times so far in his career and he has scored 34 goals. Castellanos has accumulated 7,250 mins in 81 career starting assignments and has been handed a total of 30 yellow card warnings. He scores 0.42 goals per 90 minutes during his pro soccer career.

The guy who will defend the goal for New York City FC will be Sean Johnson. Johnson has defended the goal for 28,056 mins and has 958 stops in his career. His GA/90 is 1.33 (414 goals given up) and he holds a save % of 70.7. The goalie hailing from the United States has faced 1,357 shots attempted against him in 312 career starts. Johnson (122-90-100 mark during his career) has recorded 73 shutouts, which leaves him with a 23.4% shutout percentage.

For their last game, New York went home with a draw by a final score of 1-1 against New York City. They wrapped up this match by converting 289 out of their 363 attempted passes for a rate of 79.6%. The Red Bulls finished the match with a 45.5% successful dribble rate by completing 10 of the 22 dribbles they tried. New York connected on 5 shots on goal out of the team's 15 shots attempted which had them sitting at a 33.3% rate in their last match. Having earned a total of 30 goals and 21 assists in all their games, New York has an average of 1.25 goals and 0.87 assists per 90 minutes.

Patryk Klimala will be someone to watch for New York Red Bulls. The forward from Poland has 3,648 professional minutes and he has scored 18 goals. He has tallied 9 yellow cards thus far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 7 times. He is currently averaging 0.44 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 41 games thus far in his career. Make sure to keep an eye out for Fabio, the forward hailing from Brazil. He has 30 goals in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 8 times. Fabio has been given 8 yellow cards in 7,012 mins (78 career starts). His goals per 90 minute average during his soccer career is 0.39.

Carlos Miguel Coronel will be residing in front of the net for New York Red Bulls. Thus far in his career, Coronel has conceded 54 goals and has 122 stops in 41 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.30 goals per 90 and he has a record of 17-8-16. He holds a save % of 70.8 and his shutout rate sits at 29.3%. Coronel has recorded 12 clean sheets while he has seen 171 shots tried against him in 3,739 mins throughout his career.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York City (-213)

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