Napoli vs Udinese Prediction, 5/11/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/10/2021

Game: Napoli vs Udinese

Date: Tuesday, May 11, 2021

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (-283) Udinese (+804)

Tolgay Arslan and Udinese (10-10-15, 11th in Serie A) travel to Stadio San Paolo on Tuesday where they'll take on Napoli (22-4-9, 4th in Serie A). The expected starting goaltenders will be David Ospina for Napoli and Juan Musso for Udinese. The line on this matchup has Napoli priced at -283 and the White and Blacks are at +804. The over/under has been set at 2.75.

Napoli stepped onto the pitch against Spezia in their most recent game and walked away with a win by a score of 4-1. Napoli attempted 11 dribbles in this matchup and were able to convert 7 of those tries for a rate of 63.6%. When talking about passing the ball, they finished this match with a 83.0% passes received percentage by connecting on 440 of the 530 pass attempts last game. Concerning shot accuracy, Napoli finished the game at a 50.0% rate by landing 6 SoT out of 12 total shots. Napoli is averaging 2.17 g/90 (76 total goals) and have tallied 54 assists in all competitions this season.

Lorenzo Insigne is a player who should be able to impact this match for Napoli. Insigne has had a starting assignment in 284 matches so far in his career and tallies 0.37 goals per 90 minutes. The forward representing Italy has totaled 101 goals scored in 24,588 mins played. He has accounted for 81 assists while accumulating 25 yellow cards in his career. Another player who could decide the outcome is Matteo Politano, the forward representing Italy. Politano has 16,329 minutes during 189 starts and has been given 24 yellow card warnings. He has assisted on a goal 28 times in his career while he has scored 47 goals. He is averaging 0.26 goals per 90 mins so far in his career.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Napoli will be David Ospina. Ospina has seen the field for a total of 23,611 minutes and has earned 800 stops so far in his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.13 (297 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save % of 73.4. The goalie hailing from Colombia has had 1,093 shots attempted at him in 265 starting assignments. Ospina (112-62-89 mark during his career) has accumulated 91 shutouts, which gives him a 34.3% shutout percentage.

When they last played, Udinese finished locked up with a final of 1-1 against Bologna. Udinese finished the match with a 66.7% successful dribble rate by connecting on 6 of the 9 dribbles they pursued. They wrapped up this outing by connecting on 356 of the 429 passing attempts earning a rate of 83.0%. Udinese connected on 3 shots on target out of their 9 shots attempted which had them sitting at a 33.3% clip in their last game. With a total of 38 goals and 29 assists in all matches, Udinese has an average of 1.09 goals and 0.83 assists per 90 min.

Tolgay Arslan will need to provide a lift for Udinese. The midfielder hailing from Germany has earned 15,503 professional minutes while earning 11 goals. He has accumulated 51 yellow cards during his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 16 times. He scores 0.06 G/90 and has been given a starting assignment in 177 outings thus far in his career. Make sure to keep an eye out for Roberto Pereyra, the forward representing Argentina. He has earned 32 goals in his pro soccer career while helping a teammate on a goal 24 different times. Pereyra has earned himself a total of 33 yellow cards in 19,256 mins (218 career starts). His goals per 90 min average so far in his career is 0.15.

Juan Musso will be residing in front of the net for Udinese. During his professional soccer career, Musso has given up 162 goals and has 399 stops in 122 starts. He has conceded 1.33 goals per 90 and he has a mark of 42-32-48. He holds a save percentage of 75.2 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 26.2%. Musso has racked up 32 clean sheets while he has seen 533 shots against him in 10,980 minutes in his career.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Napoli (-283)

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Napoli vs Udinese Prediction, 5/11/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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