Napoli vs Bologna Prediction, 3/7/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/4/2021

Game: Napoli vs Bologna

Date: Sunday, March 7, 2021

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (-177) Bologna (+454)

Stadio San Paolo is the site where Lorenzo Insigne and Napoli (14-2-8, 6th in Serie A) will play Bologna (7-7-11, 12th in Serie A) on Sunday. The starting goalies are David Ospina for Napoli and Lukasz Skorupski for Bologna. The line on this matchup has Napoli coming in at -177 and Bologna are at +454. The over/under opens at 3.

Napoli took the field against Sassuolo in their last match and finished with a draw with a score of 3-3. Napoli tried 11 dribbles in this contest and were successful in 7 of those attempts for a rate of 63.6%. When talking about passing the ball, they earned a 87.9% rate by connecting on 377 out of their 429 targeted passes in their last outing. In relation to shooting accuracy, Napoli walked away from the pitch at a 26.7% clip by hitting 4 shots on target out of 15 total shots. Napoli averages 2.12 g/90 (51 total goals) and have accumulated 35 assists in all matches this season.

Lorenzo Insigne is a player who should be able to impact this game for Napoli. He has totaled 78 assists while accumulating 25 yellow card warnings during his career. Insigne has been in the starting lineup in 273 matches thus far in his career and tallies 0.36 goals per 90 minutes. The forward born in Italy has 95 goals in 23,621 minutes played. Another guy who could decide the outcome is Matteo Politano, the forward who is from Italy. He has helped a teammate on a goal 27 times in his career while scoring 45 total goals. Politano has been on the pitch for 15,602 minutes in 180 starts and has earned himself 23 yellow card warnings. He has an average of 0.26 goals per 90 mins thus far in his career.

The guy defending the goal for Napoli will be David Ospina. Ospina (108-62-89 record in his career) has recorded 88 shutouts, which gives him a 33.7% clean sheet percentage. The keeper born in Colombia has faced 1,077 shots tried against him in 261 career starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.15 (296 total goals allowed) and he has a save percentage of 73.1. Ospina has been on the field for 23,251 minutes and is sitting with 785 saves so far in his career.

When they last played, Bologna earned three points by winning 2-0 against Lazio. They wrapped up this match by connecting on 301 out of their 382 pass attempts for a percentage of 78.8%. Bologna earned a 71.4% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 10 of the 14 dribbles they attempted. Bologna landed 6 shots on target out of 11 shots tried which had them at a 54.5% rate when they last stepped onto the pitch. Having earned a total of 30 goals and 23 assists in all their matches, Bologna averages 1.20 goals and 0.92 assists per 90 min.

Rodrigo Palacio will be someone to watch for Bologna. He is averaging 0.32 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 277 contests during his pro soccer career. The forward hailing from Argentina has accumulated 24,823 minutes and has earned 89 goals. He has 52 yellow card cautions thus far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 55 times. Be sure to keep an eye out for Musa Barrow, the forward hailing from Gambia. He has earned 18 goals during his soccer career while assisting a teammate on a goal 12 times. Barrow has been handed 1 yellow card caution in 4,544 professional minutes played (49 starting assignments). His goals per 90 min average in his pro soccer career is 0.36.

Lukasz Skorupski is expected to look after the goal for Bologna. Skorupski has racked up 54 shutouts while defending 1,001 shots attempted against him in 19,890 career minutes. He has a save percentage of 71.0 and his shutout rate is currently 24.4%. He has surrendered 1.39 goals per 90 and he has a mark of 71-54-96. So far in his career, Skorupski has allowed 307 goals and has 707 saves in 221 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Bologna (+454)

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Napoli vs Bologna Prediction, 3/7/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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