Manchester City vs Southampton Prediction, 9/18/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/16/2021

Game: Manchester City vs Southampton

Date: Saturday, September 18, 2021

Location: Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England

TV: USA Network

Odds/Point Spread: Manchester City (-500) Southampton (+1200)

Gabriel Jesus and Manchester City (3-0-1, 5th in the EPL) host Southampton (0-3-1, 14th in the EPL) at Etihad Stadium on Saturday. The goaltenders protecting the net will be Ederson for Manchester City and Alex McCarthy for Southampton. The line on this matchup has Manchester City priced at -500 and the Saints are at +1200. The O/U opens at 3.5.

Manchester City took the field against Leicester City in their last match and went home with a win by a final score of 1-0. In sharing the ball, they finished with a 92.1% received passes percentage by converting 525 of the 570 passing targets in their last match. Manchester City tried 17 dribbles in this outing and were successful in 8 of the tries for a percentage of 47.1%.

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In relation to shooting accuracy, Manchester City ended this match at a 32.0% clip by putting 8 shots on target out of 25 total shots. Manchester City sports an average of 2.50 g/90 (10 total goals) and have accounted for 7 assists In all contests for the year.

Gabriel Jesus is a guy who should impact this matchup for Manchester City. He has totaled 33 assists while tallying 30 yellow cards so far in his career. Jesus has started 119 outings in his pro soccer career and he has earned 0.53 goals per 90 mins. The forward from Brazil has tallied 67 goals in 11,321 minutes played.

Another guy who should impact this match is Jack Grealish, the forward representing England. Grealish has been on the field for 16,703 minutes in 182 career starts and has earned himself a total of 39 yellow cards. He has assisted on a goal 36 times in his pro soccer career while scoring 35 goals. He currently averages 0.19 goals per 90 mins during his career.

The guy who will defend the goal for Manchester City is Ederson. Ederson has seen the pitch for 19,862 minutes and has 414 saves so far in his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 mins is 0.8 (170 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save percentage of 72.9. The goalie from Brazil has faced 571 shots sent his way in 222 starts. Ederson (152-34-36 record in his career) has recorded 102 clean sheets, which has earned him a 45.9% shutout percentage.

The last time they took the pitch, Southampton went home with a draw by a final score of 0-0 against West Ham United. Southampton ended the game with a 66.7% successful dribble percentage by completing 6 of the 9 dribbles they pursued. They finished this game by completing 327 of the 394 attempted passes for a percentage of 83.0%. Southampton converted 2 shots attempted out of their 11 shots attempted which had them at a 18.2% clip in their last outing. With 3 goals and 1 assist in all their contests, Southampton is averaging 0.75 goals and 0.25 assists per 90 minutes.

Che Adams will need to provide a spark for Southampton. He is currently averaging 0.35 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 166 contests during his career. The forward born in England has totaled 15,040 minutes while scoring 58 goals. He has collected 16 yellow card warnings so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 19 times. Make sure to keep an eye out for James Ward-Prowse, the midfielder representing England. He has accounted for 31 goals in his pro soccer career while assisting on a goal 29 times. Ward-Prowse has been given a total of 34 yellow card warnings in 17,875 minutes played (193 starting assignments). His goals per 90 average during his soccer career is 0.16.

Alex McCarthy will look after the net for Southampton. In his career, McCarthy has given up 368 goals and has totaled 841 saves in 251 starting assignments. He has given up 1.46 goals per 90 while he holds a record of 81-73-98. He holds a save % of 70.1 and his clean sheet rate is 23.5%. McCarthy has racked up 59 clean sheets while he has seen 1,196 shots against him in 22,610 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Manchester City (-500)

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Manchester City vs Southampton Prediction, 9/18/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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