Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction, 10/16/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Parlay's Pundit - 10/12/2021

Game: Manchester City vs Burnley

Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021

Location: Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Manchester City (-758) Burnley (+2516)

Ashley Barnes and Burnley (0-3-4, 18th in the EPL) are headed to Etihad Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet Manchester City (4-2-1, 3rd in the EPL). The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Ederson for Manchester City and Nick Pope for Burnley. Man City are at -758 while the Clarets are priced at +2516. The O/U opens at 3.5.

Manchester City played Liverpool in their most recent game and walked away with a draw with a final of 2-2. Manchester City tried 16 dribbles in this contest and were able to convert 9 of those tries for a rate of 56.3%. In the passing game, they had a 85.8% received passes rate by connecting on 452 of the 527 targeted passes last match.

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In terms of shooting accuracy, Manchester City finished the game at a 25.0% rate by putting 3 SoT of 12 total shots. Manchester City sports an average of 1.86 g/90 (13 total goals) and have accounted for 9 assists in all games this season.

Jack Grealish is a player who should be able to impact this game for Manchester City. Grealish has been given a starting assignment in 185 matchups during his career and tallies 0.19 G/90. The forward born in England has tallied 35 goals scored in 16,944 minutes. He has 36 assists while accumulating 39 yellow cards during his soccer career.

One more player who could decide who wins is Kevin De Bruyne, the midfielder hailing from Belgium. He has assisted on a goal 137 times so far in his career while scoring 81 goals. Bruyne has played 27,864 minutes in 320 starts and has earned himself a total of 33 yellow cards. He currently averages 0.26 goals per 90 minutes during his pro soccer career.

The man protecting the net for Manchester City is Ederson. Ederson has played for a total of 20,132 mins and has tallied 417 saves in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 0.8 (172 goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of 72.7. The goalie born in Brazil has faced 576 shots sent in his direction in 225 starts. Ederson (153-36-36 record during his career) has totaled 104 shutouts, which gives him a 46.2% shutout rate.

The last time they took the pitch, Burnley earned the draw by finishing with a tally of 0-0 against Norwich City. Burnley finished with a 50.0% successful dribble rate by converting 7 of the 14 dribbles they tried. They wrapped up this outing by converting 378 out of their 502 attempted passes for a percentage of 75.3%. Burnley had 4 shots tried out of their 14 shots tried earning them a 28.6% clip in their last game. With 4 goals and 4 assists for all their games, Burnley is averaging 0.57 goals and 0.57 assists per 90.

Ashley Barnes should provide a lift for Burnley. He is currently averaging 0.34 goals per 90 mins and has started 290 outings so far in his career. The forward born in England has totaled 26,073 minutes while he has scored 98 goals. He has accumulated 72 yellow cards so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 22 times. Be sure to watch out for Chris Wood, the forward hailing from New Zealand. Wood has been given a total of 10 yellow cards in 26,419 mins played (298 starting assignments). His goals per 90 average so far in his career is 0.46. He has collected 134 goals in his career while helping on a goal 35 different times.

Nick Pope is expected to look after the net for Burnley. So far in his career, Pope has allowed 217 goals and has tallied 635 stops in 200 starts. He has conceded 1.08 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 73-61-67. He holds a save percentage of 75.5 and his clean sheet rate sits at 39.0%. Pope has racked up 78 clean sheets while defending 844 shots attempted against him in 18,099 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Burnley (+2516) and under the total goals

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Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction, 10/16/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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