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Lille vs Brest Prediction, 2/14/2021 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/9/2021

Steve Mounie Brest

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Game: Lille vs Brest

Date: Sunday, February 14, 2021

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Villeneuve-d'Ascq, France

TV: DAZN

Odds/Point Spread: Lille (-197) Brest (+522)

Stade Pierre-Mauroy is the site where Jonathan Bamba and Lille (16-6-2, 1st in Ligue 1) will play Brest (9-3-12, 12th in Ligue 1) on Sunday. The goaltenders who are expected to start are Mike Maignan for Lille and Gautier Larsonneur for Brest. The Pirates are at at +522 while Lille OSC are at -197. The over/under opens at 2.5.

Lille faced off with Nantes in their last matchup and went home with a win by a final score of 2-0. Lille attempted 19 dribbles in this contest and were able to convert 17 of the attempts for a rate of 89.5%. In regard to passing, they ended with a 86.9% rate by completing 477 out of their 549 targeted passes last match. In regard to shooting accuracy, Lille finished at a 20.0% clip by putting 3 shots on target out of 15 shots. Lille sports an average of 1.71 goals per 90 minutes (41 goals in total) and are sitting with 27 assists in all matches for this campaign.

Jonathan Bamba is a player who can be a difference maker for Lille. He has accounted for 26 assists while accumulating 9 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career. Bamba has been in the starting lineup in 140 matches during his career while scoring 0.24 goals per 90 mins. The forward from France has accumulated 33 goals scored in 12,492 mins played. One more guy who should impact this match is Jonathan David, the forward who represents Canada. David has been on the field for 5,467 mins in 62 starting assignments and has been given a total of 5 yellow card cautions. He has helped a teammate on a goal 14 times so far in his career and he has scored 37 goals. He is averaging 0.61 G/90 during his soccer career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Lille is Mike Maignan. Maignan (67-26-40 record in his career) has recorded 49 clean sheets, which has earned him a 36.8% clean sheet percentage. The goalkeeper hailing from French Guiana has had 463 shots attempted against him in 133 starting assignments. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.04 (139 goals conceded) and he has earned a save % of .730. Maignan has been on the pitch for 11,988 minutes and has tallied 344 saves so far in his pro soccer career.

The last time they took the pitch, Brest earned three points by winning 2-1 against Bordeaux. They finished the match by converting 412 out of their 494 passing attempts earning a percentage of 83.4%. Brest ended the game with a 68.0% successful dribble rate by converting 17 of the 25 dribbles they tried. Brest landed 6 shots on target out of the team's 25 shots tried giving them a 24.0% clip when they last stepped onto the pitch. With a total of 35 goals and 21 assists In all their contests, Brest averages 1.46 goals and 0.87 assists per 90 minutes.

Steve Mounie should be someone to watch for Brest. He scores 0.35 goals per 90 and has been in the starting lineup in 132 games in his career. The forward from Benin has 12,174 minutes and has scored 48 goals. He has collected 13 yellow card cautions thus far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 15 times. Make sure to watch out for Gaetan Charbonnier, the forward who is from France. He has scored 89 goals during his pro soccer career while assisting on a goal 39 times. Charbonnier has been given 47 yellow card warnings in 20,375 mins (232 starting assignments). His goals per 90 min average in his career is 0.39.

Gautier Larsonneur will be looking after the goal for Brest. During his professional soccer career, Larsonneur has surrendered 149 goals while earning 269 stops in 123 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.21 goals per 90 while earning a mark of 54-35-34. He has earned a save % of .726 and his shutout rate sits at 30.1%. Larsonneur has earned 37 shutouts and has seen 379 shots against him in 11,038 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's Ligue 1 game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Brest (+522)

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