Leeds United vs Watford Prediction, 10/2/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Parlay's Pundit - 9/28/2021

Game: Leeds United vs Watford

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Elland Road in Leeds, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Leeds United (-161) Watford (+401)

Elland Road is the venue where Raphinha and Leeds United (0-3-3, 18th in the EPL) will take on Watford (2-1-3, 12th in the EPL) on Saturday. The expected starting goalkeepers will be Illan Meslier for Leeds United and Ben Foster for Watford. Leeds United are at -161 while Watford are at +401. The O/U is set at 2.75.

Leeds United faced off with West Ham United in their last match and ended up losing by a score of 2-1. In regard to passing, they ended up with a 87.7% received passes rate by connecting on 357 out of their 407 targeted passes last contest. Leeds United attempted 20 dribbles in this game and were successful in 8 of those attempts for a rate of 40.0%.

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Regarding shot accuracy, Leeds United finished at a 33.3% rate by putting 5 shots on target of 15 total shots. Leeds United sports an average of 1.00 goal per 90 (6 total goals) and are sitting with 5 assists in all matches for this campaign.

Raphinha is a player who can be a difference maker for Leeds United. Raphinha has been given a starting assignment in 77 matches so far in his career and he scores 0.28 goals per 90 minutes. The forward representing Brazil has tallied 21 goals scored in 6,818 mins. He has totaled 15 assists while accumulating 16 yellow cards so far in his career.

Someone else who should impact this match is Kalvin Phillips, the midfielder representing England. He has helped a teammate on a goal 11 times in his pro soccer career and he has scored 13 total goals. Phillips has been on the field for 15,407 minutes in 176 career starts and has been given a total of 48 yellow cards. He sports an average of 0.08 goals per 90 mins for his career.

The man who will defend the goal for Leeds United is Illan Meslier. Meslier has defended the goal for 7,110 minutes and is sitting with 182 saves in his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.3 (102 total goals surrendered) and he has a save % of 74.7. The goalkeeper hailing from France has seen 241 shots tried at him in 79 starting assignments. Meslier (36-18-25 record in his career) has earned 27 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 34.2% shutout rate.

In their last outing, Watford went home with a draw by a final score of 1-1 against Newcastle United. They wrapped up this match by connecting on 294 out of their 371 passes they attempted for a percentage of 79.2%. Watford had a 66.7% successful dribble rate by connecting on 20 out of the 30 dribbles they tried. Watford had 5 shots attempted out of 16 shots attempted earning them a 31.3% clip in their last game. With 7 goals and 5 assists in all matches, Watford averages 1.17 goals and 0.83 assists per 90.

Emmanuel Dennis will need to be on top of his game for Watford. The forward who is from Nigeria has totaled 7,037 mins while scoring 27 goals. He has totaled 23 yellow card cautions in his career and has helped on a goal 8 times. He is currently averaging 0.35 G/90 and has been a starter in 84 matches so far in his career. You should also watch out for Ismaila Sarr, the forward hailing from Senegal. Sarr has been given 16 yellow cards in 12,616 mins (141 career starting assignments). His G/90 average in his career is 0.29. He has earned 40 goals so far in his pro soccer career while helping on a goal 18 times.

Ben Foster will be looking after the net for Watford. So far in his pro soccer career, Foster has conceded 623 goals and has accumulated 1,511 saves in 452 starts. He has conceded 1.38 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 136-132-181. He holds a save % of 71.4 and his clean sheet rate is currently 25.0%. Foster has racked up 113 shutouts and has seen 2,121 shots against him in 40,503 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Watford (+401) and under the total goals

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Leeds United vs Watford Prediction, 10/2/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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