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Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction, 4/3/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/31/2021

Cristiano Biraghi Fiorentina

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Game: Genoa vs Fiorentina

Date: Saturday, April 3, 2021

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Genova, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Genoa (+188) Fiorentina (+165)

Marko Pjaca and Genoa (7-10-11, 13th in Serie A) host Fiorentina (7-8-13, 14th in Serie A) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Saturday. The goalkeepers protecting the net will be Mattia Perin for Genoa and Bartlomiej Dragowski for Fiorentina. Fiorentina are at at +165 while Genoa are at +188. The over/under is set at 2.25.

Genoa stepped onto the pitch against Parma in their most recent game and took home the win by a score of 2-1. When talking about passing the ball, they finished this match with a 81.7% rate by connecting on 357 out of their 437 pass targets in their last outing. Genoa attempted 14 dribbles in this outing and completed 7 of those tries for a percentage of 50.0%. In terms of shooting accuracy, Genoa wrapped this game up at a 20.0% clip by landing 2 shots on target of 10 total shots. Genoa has an average of 1.07 goals per 90 min (30 goals in total) and have 23 assists in all games for the season.

Marko Pjaca is a guy who should impact this matchup for Genoa. Pjaca has been a starter in 115 matches during his career while he scores 0.30 goals per 90 mins. The forward born in Croatia has tallied 35 goals scored in 10,339 professional minutes played. He has 14 assists while accumulating 6 yellow cards so far in his career. Another guy who should impact this match is Goran Pandev, the forward born in Macedonia. He has helped on a goal 47 times so far in his career and he has scored 98 total goals. Pandev has totaled 27,097 mins during 309 starting assignments and has been given a total of 60 yellow card cautions. He currently averages 0.33 goals per 90 mins thus far in his career.

The man defending the goal for Genoa will be Mattia Perin. Perin (85-61-107 mark in his career) has earned 70 clean sheets, which gives him a 27.6% shutout percentage. The goalie born in Italy has seen 1,233 shots sent his way in 254 starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.43 (362 goals conceded) and he has earned a save percentage of 71.7. Perin has played for 22,721 mins and is sitting with 883 saves thus far in his career.

The last time they took the field, Fiorentina walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 3-2 against AC Milan. They wrapped up this outing by converting 287 of the 360 passes they attempted for a rate of 79.7%. Fiorentina earned a 29.4% successful dribble rate by connecting on 5 of the 17 dribbles they pursued. Fiorentina landed 2 shots on target out of 7 shots attempted earning them a 28.6% rate when they last took the field. Having accumulated 32 goals and 22 assists in all their contests, Fiorentina is averaging 1.14 goals and 0.79 assists per 90 min.

Giacomo Bonaventura should provide a spark for Fiorentina. He currently averages 0.22 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 254 games so far in his career. The midfielder who is from Italy has been on the pitch for 22,571 mins while scoring 54 goals. He has totaled 38 yellow card cautions during his career and has helped on a goal 37 times. Make sure to watch out for Dusan Vlahovic, the forward born in Serbia. Vlahovic has been handed a total of 6 yellow cards in 4,109 mins (39 career starting assignments). His goals per 90 average so far in his career is 0.42. He has earned 19 goals so far in his pro soccer career while assisting on a goal 3 different times.

Bartlomiej Dragowski will be residing in front of the goal for Fiorentina. Dragowski has 26 clean sheets while seeing 517 shots attempted against him in 10,205 minutes throughout his career. He is the owner of a save % of 67.7 and his clean sheet rate is currently 23.2%. He has conceded 1.60 goals per 90 while holding a record of 32-30-51. In his career, Dragowski has conceded 181 goals and has accumulated 351 saves in 112 starts.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Genoa (+188)

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