Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction, 10/3/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/29/2021

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Game: Fiorentina vs Napoli

Date: Sunday, October 3, 2021

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Odds/Point Spread: Fiorentina (+353) Napoli (-126)

Dusan Vlahovic and Fiorentina (4-0-2, 5th in Serie A) play Napoli (6-0-0, 1st in Serie A) at Stadio Artemio Franchi on Sunday. The goalkeepers protecting the net are Bartlomiej Dragowski for Fiorentina and David Ospina for Napoli. The Blues are at at -126 while Fiorentina are at +353. The total opens at 3.

Fiorentina faced Udinese in their last game and went home with a win by a final score of 1-0. Fiorentina tried 7 dribbles in this match and were able to convert 1 of the attempts for a rate of 14.3%. In the passing game, they ended up with a 87.9% received passes rate by completing 518 out of their 589 targeted passes last match.

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In terms of shooting accuracy, Fiorentina finished at a 14.3% rate by landing 1 shot on target out of 7 total shots. Fiorentina is averaging 1.50 g/90 (9 goals in total) and have tallied 5 assists in all matches this season.

Dusan Vlahovic is a guy who should impact this matchup for Fiorentina. Vlahovic has been in the starting lineup in 55 outings so far in his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.52 goals per 90 minutes. The forward who is from Serbia has earned 32 goals in 5,537 professional minutes played. He has 4 assists while accumulating 8 yellow cards during his pro soccer career.

One more player who should impact this match is Giacomo Bonaventura, the midfielder who is from Italy. Bonaventura has 23,745 mins in 269 career starts and has been handed 42 yellow card warnings. He has assisted on a goal 38 times during his career while scoring 57 goals. He is averaging 0.22 goals per 90 mins for his career.

The guy defending the goal for Fiorentina is Bartlomiej Dragowski. Dragowski has seen the field for a total of 11,166 mins and has earned 375 saves so far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.59 (197 total goals allowed) and his save % is 67.6. The goalie born in Poland has faced 553 shots sent his way in 124 starts. Dragowski (36-34-55 mark in his career) has recorded 29 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 23.4% shutout rate.

When they last played, Napoli earned three points by winning 2-0 against Cagliari. Napoli had a 44.4% successful dribble rate by completing 8 out of the 18 dribbles they tried. They finished the match by connecting on 696 of the 738 passing attempts for a rate of 94.3%. Napoli converted 6 shots on target out of their 16 shots tried which gave them a 37.5% rate in their last outing. With a total of 16 goals and 10 assists in all their games, Napoli averages 2.67 goals and 1.67 assists per 90 minutes.

Lorenzo Insigne will need to provide a spark for Napoli. He sports an average of 0.37 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 293 matches during his soccer career. The forward representing Italy has been on the field for 25,317 mins and has scored 105 goals. He has accounted for 25 yellow cards during his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 83 times. You should also keep an eye on Matteo Politano, the forward representing Italy. Politano has been given 25 yellow card warnings in 16,826 mins played (195 career starting assignments). His goals per 90 average during his pro soccer career is 0.26. He has scored 48 goals so far in his career while assisting on a goal 29 times.

David Ospina will be looking after the goal for Napoli. So far in his career, Ospina has conceded 298 goals while tallying 809 stops in 269 starts. He has given up 1.12 goals per 90 mins while holding a mark of 116-62-89. He sports a save percentage of 73.5 and his clean sheet rate sits at 34.9%. Ospina has accumulated 94 clean sheets while he has seen 1,103 shots against him in 23,971 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Napoli (-126)

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Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction, 10/3/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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