Chelsea vs Southampton Prediction, 10/2/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/28/2021

Game: Chelsea vs Southampton

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Stamford Bridge in London, England

TV: USA Network

Odds/Point Spread: Chelsea (-411) Southampton (+1019)

Che Adams and Southampton (0-4-2, 16th in the EPL) go to Stamford Bridge on Saturday where they'll meet Chelsea (4-1-1, 3rd in the EPL). The starting goalies are Edouard Mendy for Chelsea and Alex McCarthy for Southampton. The odds on this game have Chelsea coming in at -411 and the Saints are at +1019. The total is set at 2.75.

Chelsea played Manchester City in their last match and went home with a loss by a final score of 1-0. In sharing the ball, they finished this match with a 85.0% received passes rate by connecting on 346 out of their 407 passing attempts in their last match. Chelsea tried 16 dribbles in this contest and converted 10 of the tries for a percentage of 62.5%.

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Kai Havertz is a guy who should impact this matchup for Chelsea. Havertz has been a starter in 121 outings so far in his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.34 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Germany has earned 41 goals in 10,771 mins. He has totaled 24 assists while tallying 12 yellow cards during his career.

Another player who could decide the outcome is Romelu Lukaku, the forward hailing from Belgium. He has helped on a goal 60 times in his career and he has scored 195 goals. Lukaku has totaled 30,392 minutes during 335 starts and has earned himself a total of 29 yellow cards. He scores 0.58 goals per 90 minutes during his career.

The man defending the goal for Chelsea is Edouard Mendy. Mendy has defended the goal for a total of 12,568 mins and has tallied 351 saves so far in his career. His GA/90 is 0.9 (120 total goals conceded) and he holds a save % of 77.4. The goalie from Senegal has had 455 shots attempted at him in 140 starts. Mendy (49-33-25 mark during his soccer career) has earned 62 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 44.3% shutout rate.

For their last outing, Southampton went home defeated by a final of 1-0 against Wolverhampton. They finished this game by connecting on 442 of the 508 passes they attempted earning a percentage of 87.0%. Southampton finished the match with a 44.4% successful dribble rate by connecting on 8 of the 18 dribbles they pursued. Southampton landed 6 shots tried out of 18 shots tried which gave them a 33.3% rate when they last took the field. With a total of 3 goals and 1 assist in all their contests, Southampton is averaging 0.50 goals and 0.17 assists per 90.

Che Adams should be able to be counted on for Southampton. The forward from England has 15,170 mins and has scored 58 goals. He has 16 yellow card cautions so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 19 times. He scores 0.34 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 168 games during his career. You should also keep an eye on James Ward-Prowse, the midfielder born in England. He has totaled 31 goals during his pro soccer career while helping on a goal 29 different times. Ward-Prowse has been given 34 yellow cards in 18,055 mins played (195 starting assignments). His G/90 average during his pro soccer career is 0.15.

Alex McCarthy is expected to look after the net for Southampton. McCarthy has 60 shutouts and defended 1,200 shots against him in 22,790 minutes in his career. He sports a save % of 70.1 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 23.7%. He has given up 1.46 goals per 90 minutes and he has a mark of 81-74-99. Thus far in his career, McCarthy has conceded 369 goals and has tallied 844 saves in 253 starts.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chelsea (-411)

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Chelsea vs Southampton Prediction, 10/2/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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