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Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction, 9/11/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/7/2021

timo werner chelsea

Game: Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021

Location: Stamford Bridge in London, England

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Chelsea (-333) Aston Villa (+895)

Danny Ings and Aston Villa (1-1-1, 11th in the EPL) head to Stamford Bridge on Saturday where they'll meet Chelsea (2-1-0, 4th in the EPL). The goalies protecting the net are Edouard Mendy for Chelsea and Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa. Aston Villa are at at +895 while the Pensioners are at -333. The O/U is set at 2.75.

Chelsea faced off with Liverpool in their last game and walked away with a draw with a final of 1-1. Chelsea tried 7 dribbles in this match and were able to convert 4 of the attempts for a percentage of 57.1%. When discussing the passing game, they ended up with a 76.7% received passes percentage by converting 286 out of their 373 targeted passes in their last game.

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In terms of shooting accuracy, Chelsea finished at a 33.3% clip by putting 2 shots on target of 6 total shots. Chelsea averages 2.00 goals per 90 min (6 total goals) and have accumulated 4 assists in all matches for the year.

Romelu Lukaku is a guy who should be able to impact this game for Chelsea. He has accounted for 60 assists while earning 29 yellow card warnings in his career. Lukaku has been in the starting lineup in 332 matchups so far in his career and tallies 0.58 G/90. The forward born in Belgium has tallied 193 goals scored in 30,122 minutes played.

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Another player who could decide the outcome is Timo Werner, the forward representing Germany. He has helped a teammate on a goal 44 times in his career while scoring 98 goals. Werner has totaled 18,341 mins in 207 starts and has been given 14 yellow card warnings. He currently averages 0.48 goals per 90 mins for his pro soccer career.

The guy defending the goal for Chelsea is Edouard Mendy. Mendy (48-33-24 mark in his career) has accounted for 61 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 44.2% shutout percentage. The goalkeeper hailing from Senegal has seen 446 shots attempted against him in 138 starts. His GA/90 is 0.9 (119 goals allowed) and he holds a save % of 77.1. Mendy has played for a total of 12,388 mins and has earned 343 saves during his career.

When they last stepped on the pitch, Aston Villa finished locked up with a final of 1-1 against Brentford. They wrapped up this outing by completing 287 out of their 369 passes they tried for a rate of 77.8%. Aston Villa ended the game with a 60.0% successful dribble percentage by completing 9 out of the 15 dribbles they pursued. Aston Villa had 5 shots attempted out of the team's 7 shots attempted which had them at a 71.4% clip in their last match. Having a total of 5 goals and 3 assists in all their matches, Aston Villa has an average of 1.67 goals and 1.00 assist per 90 min.

Danny Ings will need to provide a lift for Aston Villa. He is currently averaging 0.44 goals per 90 minutes and has been a starter in 211 outings thus far in his career. The forward hailing from England has played 18,486 mins and he has scored 91 goals. He has accounted for 21 yellow card warnings in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 24 times. Be sure to keep an eye out for Ollie Watkins, the forward representing England. Watkins has been given 30 yellow cards in 19,262 mins (212 career starting assignments). His goals per 90 average thus far in his career is 0.37. He has collected 80 goals thus far in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 25 times.

Emiliano Martinez will be looking after the net for Aston Villa. So far in his career, Martinez has surrendered 140 goals and has accumulated 373 stops in 110 starts. He has surrendered 1.27 goals per 90 minutes while earning a mark of 41-26-43. He sports a save % of 74.2 and his shutout rate is 33.6%. Martinez has totaled 37 shutouts and defended 507 shots tried against him in 9,949 minutes in his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Aston Villa (+895)

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