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Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction, 5/18/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/17/2021

Aaron Connolly Brighton and Hove Albion

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Game: Brighton vs Manchester City

Date: Tuesday, May 18, 2021

Location: The American Express Community Stadium in Brighton and Hove, Sussex

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Brighton (+547) Manchester City (-185)

The American Express Community Stadium is the site where Danny Welbeck and Brighton (8-14-14, 17th in the EPL) will play Manchester City (26-5-5, 1st in the EPL) on Tuesday. The goalies protecting the net will be Robert Sanchez for Brighton and Ederson for Manchester City. Man City are at at -185 while the Seagulls are at +547. The O/U has been set at 2.5.

Brighton played West Ham United in their last match and got the draw with a final of 1-1. In the passing game, they had a 86.8% passes received percentage by converting 511 of the 589 pass attempts in their last game. Brighton attempted 13 dribbles in this game and completed 11 of the dribbles for a percentage of 84.6%. In terms of shooting accuracy, Brighton ended this match at a 20.0% rate by landing 2 shots on target out of 10 shots. Brighton has an average of 1.00 goal per 90 (36 total goals) and have accumulated 23 assists in all matches for the year.

Danny Welbeck is a guy who should impact this matchup for Brighton. Welbeck has been a starter in 152 matches thus far in his career while scoring 0.33 goals per 90. The forward born in England has 52 goals scored in 14,208 minutes. He has accounted for 23 assists while earning 13 yellow cards during his pro soccer career. Another guy who should impact this match is Leandro Trossard, the forward born in Belgium. He has assisted on a goal 25 times in his pro soccer career while scoring 61 goals. Trossard has accumulated 14,932 mins during 168 starts and has been handed a total of 12 yellow cards. He scores 0.37 goals per 90 mins during his soccer career.

The man who will protect the net for Brighton will be Robert Sanchez. Sanchez has defended the goal for a total of 4,590 mins and has accumulated 149 saves so far in his career. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.3 (67 total goals allowed) and his save % is 70.1. The goalkeeper hailing from Spain has seen 211 shots attempted at him in 51 career starting assignments. Sanchez (14-15-22 mark in his professional soccer career) has accumulated 16 shutouts, which has earned him a 31.4% shutout percentage.

When they last stepped on the pitch, Manchester City went home victorious with a score of 4-3 against Newcastle United. Manchester City ended the game with a 63.2% successful dribble rate by connecting on 12 out of the 19 dribbles they pursued. They wrapped up this match by completing 881 of the 939 passes they attempted for a rate of 93.8%. Manchester City converted 6 shots attempted out of their 15 shots attempted which gave them a 40.0% clip when they last took the field. With a total of 75 goals and 49 assists in all their matches, Manchester City is averaging 2.08 goals and 1.36 assists per 90 minutes.

Riyad Mahrez will need to provide a lift for Manchester City. The forward born in Algeria has been on the pitch for 20,858 professional minutes while scoring 75 goals. He has totaled 12 yellow card warnings thus far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 60 times. He scores 0.32 goals per 90 minutes and has started 238 games thus far in his career. Be sure to keep an eye out for Kevin De Bruyne, the midfielder hailing from Belgium. He has scored 79 goals in his career while helping a teammate on a goal 136 different times. Bruyne has been given a total of 33 yellow cards in 27,566 mins played (317 starting assignments). His goals per 90 average during his pro soccer career is 0.26.

Ederson will reside in front of the goal for Manchester City. During his pro soccer career, Ederson has given up 166 goals and has racked up 409 saves in 216 starts. He has given up 0.77 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 148-34-34. He has earned a save percentage of 73.1 and his clean sheet rate is currently 45.4%. Ederson has tallied 98 shutouts and has seen 562 shots attempted against him in 19,322 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Brighton (+547)

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