Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction, 5/23/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Date: Sunday, May 23, 2021

Location: Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Atalanta (+135) AC Milan (+197)

Duvan Zapata and Atalanta (23-9-5, 2nd in Serie A) play AC Milan (23-7-7, 3rd in Serie A) at Gewiss Stadium on Sunday. The goalies who are expected to start are Pierluigi Gollini for Atalanta and Gianluigi Donnarumma for AC Milan. The line on this matchup has Atalanta priced at +135 and AC Milan are priced at +197. The O/U is set at 3.

Atalanta faced off with Genoa in their last game and notched a win by a score of 4-3. Atalanta attempted 12 dribbles in this outing and completed 9 of the tries for a rate of 75.0%. In regard to passing, they finished this match with a 89.4% rate by connecting on 626 out of their 700 passing targets last match. In relation to shooting accuracy, Atalanta finished at a 50.0% clip by putting 6 shots on target of 12 shots. Atalanta is averaging 2.41 goals per 90 minutes (89 total goals) and have tallied 65 assists in all matches this year.

Duvan Zapata is a guy who should impact this matchup for Atalanta. He has accounted for 33 assists while tallying 20 yellow card cautions so far in his career. Zapata has been a starter in 173 matchups in his career and accounts for 0.57 G/90. The forward representing Colombia has accumulated 96 goals in 15,176 mins played. Another player who could decide the outcome is Luis Muriel, the forward representing Colombia. He has assisted on a goal 35 times so far in his career while scoring 97 total goals. Muriel has 16,174 minutes during 175 starts and has been given a total of 28 yellow card warnings. He scores 0.54 goals per 90 mins so far in his pro soccer career.

The guy defending the goal for Atalanta is Pierluigi Gollini. Gollini (61-45-31 record during his career) has tallied 34 clean sheets, which gives him a 25.0% shutout percentage. The goalie born in Italy has seen 481 shots attempted at him in 136 career starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.19 (160 goals surrendered) and he holds a save % of 69.2. Gollini has played for 12,077 mins and is sitting with 332 saves during his soccer career.

In their last game, AC Milan went home with a draw by a final score of 0-0 against Cagliari. AC Milan finished with a 66.7% successful dribble rate by connecting on 14 out of the 21 dribbles they tried. They wrapped up this outing by converting 545 of the 616 attempted passes for a rate of 88.5%. AC Milan landed 3 shots on target out of their 21 shots attempted which had them sitting at a 14.3% rate when they last stepped onto the pitch. With a total of 70 goals and 47 assists in all their contests, AC Milan averages 1.89 goals and 1.27 assists per 90 minutes.

Ante Rebic will need to provide a spark for AC Milan. The forward hailing from Croatia has earned 13,273 professional minutes and he has scored 57 goals. He has accounted for 57 yellow card warnings in his career and has helped on a goal 20 times. He has an average of 0.39 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 150 matches thus far in his career. Make sure to watch out for Rafael Leao, the midfielder representing Croatia. He has tallied 21 goals in his career while assisting on a goal 11 times. Leao has been given 8 yellow card warnings in 4,640 mins played (49 starts). His G/90 average thus far in his career is 0.41.

Gianluigi Donnarumma will look after the net for AC Milan. Donnarumma has totaled 70 shutouts while defending 806 shots against him in 19,001 mins in his career. He sports a save percentage of 73.7 and his shutout rate sits at 32.7%. He has conceded 1.08 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 107-54-51. So far in his pro soccer career, Donnarumma has allowed 228 goals and has totaled 594 saves in 214 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take AC Milan (+197)

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