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Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction, 12/18/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 12/16/2021

soccer picks Ollie Watkins Aston Villa predictions best bet odds

Game: Aston Villa vs Burnley

Date: Saturday, December 18, 2021

Location: Villa Park in Birmingham, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aston Villa (-135) Burnley (+352)

Villa Park is the site where Danny Ings and Aston Villa (7-1-9, 10th in the EPL) will play Burnley (1-8-6, 18th in the EPL) on Saturday. The goaltenders protecting the net will be Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa and Nick Pope for Burnley. Aston Villa are at -135 while the Clarets are priced at +352. The total has been set at 2.5.

Aston Villa played Norwich City in their last matchup and earned the victory with a final of 2-0. In sharing the ball, they ended with a 89.8% received passes rate by connecting on 386 out of their 430 passing attempts last match. Aston Villa attempted 11 dribbles in this game and completed 3 of the tries for a percentage of 27.3%.

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In relation to shooting accuracy, Aston Villa ended this match at a 37.5% clip by landing 6 SoT of 16 shots. Aston Villa averages 1.29 goals per 90 min (22 goals in total) and have racked up 18 assists in all matches for the year.

Danny Ings is a guy who should be able to impact this game for Aston Villa. Ings has been a starter in 218 contests so far in his pro soccer career and he tallies 0.43 goals per 90 minutes. The forward hailing from England has 92 goals in 19,088 minutes. He has totaled 25 assists while earning 21 yellow card warnings during his soccer career.

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Another guy who could decide the outcome is Ollie Watkins, the forward representing England. Watkins has been on the field for 20,522 minutes in 226 starts and has been given a total of 33 yellow card warnings. He has assisted on a goal 26 times thus far in his career and he has scored 85 total goals. He is averaging 0.37 goals per 90 minutes during his career.

The guy who will defend the goal for Aston Villa is Emiliano Martinez. Martinez (47-26-50 mark during his career) has tallied 41 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 33.3% clean sheet percentage. The goalie from Argentina has faced 565 shots attempted against him in 123 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.3 (158 goals surrendered) and his save % is 73.8. Martinez has seen the field for a total of 11,119 mins and has accumulated 414 saves so far in his pro soccer career.

For their last game, Burnley finished locked up with a final of 0-0 against West Ham United. They finished the contest by connecting on 223 of the 293 passing tries for a percentage of 76.1%. Burnley had a 71.4% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 10 of the 14 dribbles they tried. Burnley connected on 1 shot on target out of their 9 shots attempted earning them a 11.1% clip when they last took the field. Having accumulated 13 goals and 12 assists for all their games, Burnley is averaging 0.87 goals and 0.80 assists per 90 minutes.

Maxwel Cornet should provide a lift for Burnley. The forward hailing from Cote d'Ivoire has been on the field for 10,845 professional minutes while scoring 36 goals. He has 18 yellow card warnings in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 21 times. He sports an average of 0.30 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 115 contests thus far in his career. You should also watch out for Chris Wood, the forward born in New Zealand. He has 136 goals so far in his pro soccer career while assisting a teammate on a goal 35 times. Wood has been handed a total of 10 yellow card cautions in 27,024 mins (306 starts). His goals per 90 min average during his pro soccer career is 0.45.

Nick Pope is expected to look after the net for Burnley. Pope has totaled 80 clean sheets while he has seen 879 shots tried against him in 18,819 career mins. He sports a save % of 75.3 and his clean sheet rate is 38.5%. He has allowed 1.09 goals per 90 mins while he holds a record of 74-66-69. So far in his career, Pope has given up 227 goals and has earned 659 saves in 208 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Burnley (+352)

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