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Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction, 11/20/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/17/2021

soccer picks Ollie Watkins Aston Villa predictions best bet odds

Game: Aston Villa vs Brighton

Date: Saturday, November 20, 2021

Location: Villa Park in Birmingham, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aston Villa (+130) Brighton (+208)

Danny Ings and Aston Villa (3-1-7, 16th in the EPL) play Brighton (4-5-2, 7th in the EPL) at Villa Park on Saturday. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa and Jason Steele for Brighton. The odds on this matchup have Aston Villa coming in at +130 and the Seagulls are at +208. The total has been set at 2.5.

Aston Villa faced Southampton in their last matchup and took a loss by a score of 1-0. Aston Villa attempted 9 dribbles in this matchup and were successful in 5 of those attempts for a rate of 55.6%. In the passing game, they ended with a 77.4% received passes rate by converting 261 out of their 337 pass attempts in their last game.

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In relation to shooting accuracy, Aston Villa walked away from the pitch at a 21.4% clip by landing 3 SoT of 14 total shots. Aston Villa averages 1.18 goals per 90 min (13 total goals) and have accounted for 10 assists in all matches for this campaign.

Danny Ings is a player who should be able to impact this game for Aston Villa. Ings has started 217 outings during his pro soccer career and scores 0.44 goals per 90 minutes. The forward representing England has 92 goals in 18,975 mins played. He has totaled 25 assists while tallying 21 yellow cards during his soccer career.

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Another player who should impact this match is Ollie Watkins, the forward who represents England. He has helped a teammate on a goal 25 times in his career while he has scored 82 total goals. Watkins has been on the field for 19,982 minutes in 220 starts and has been handed 32 yellow cards. He is currently averaging 0.37 goals per 90 during his career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Aston Villa will be Emiliano Martinez. Martinez has been on the field for a total of 10,579 mins and has 396 saves in his career. His GA/90 is 1.3 (153 goals given up) and he is the owner of a save % of 73.4. The goalkeeper hailing from Argentina has had 542 shots attempted against him in 117 career starts. Martinez (43-26-48 record in his career) has recorded 39 clean sheets, which has earned him a 33.3% clean sheet percentage.

In their last outing, Brighton went home with a draw by a final score of 1-1 against Newcastle United. Brighton finished the match with a 55.6% successful dribble rate by connecting on 5 out of the 9 dribbles they tried. They wrapped up this match by converting 617 out of their 658 passes they tried for a percentage of 93.8%. Brighton landed 4 shots attempted out of their 13 shots attempted giving them a 30.8% clip in their last match. Having a total of 12 goals and 9 assists in all their matches, Brighton averages 1.09 goals and 0.82 assists per 90 min.

Neal Maupay will need to be on top of his game for Brighton. The forward representing France has totaled 16,272 mins and has scored 77 goals. He has 36 yellow card cautions during his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 21 times. He is currently averaging 0.43 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 178 outings during his career. You should also keep an eye on Leandro Trossard, the forward hailing from Belgium. He has totaled 65 goals during his soccer career while helping a teammate on a goal 26 different times. Trossard has been handed a total of 13 yellow cards in 15,995 mins (180 career starts). His G/90 average so far in his career is 0.37.

Jason Steele will be residing in front of the goal for Brighton. Steele has tallied 61 shutouts and has seen 1,100 shots attempted against him in 24,328 career mins. He sports a save % of 67.5 and his clean sheet rate sits at 22.4%. He has allowed 1.33 goals per 90 and he has earned a record of 89-73-110. In his career, Steele has conceded 360 goals and has earned 740 stops in 272 starts.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Brighton (+208)

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