Aston Villa vs Brentford Prediction, 8/28/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 8/25/2021

soccer picks Ollie Watkins Aston Villa predictions best bet odds

Game: Aston Villa vs Brentford

Date: Saturday, August 28, 2021

Location: Villa Park in Birmingham, England

TV: CNBC

Odds/Point Spread: Aston Villa (+116) Brentford (+235)

Sergi Canos and Brentford (1-1-0, 8th in the EPL) head to Villa Park on Saturday where they'll take on Aston Villa (1-0-1, 10th in the EPL). The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa and David Raya for Brentford. Brentford are at at +235 while the Villains are at +116. The O/U has been set at 2.5.

Aston Villa stepped onto the pitch against Newcastle United in their last match and walked away with a win by a score of 2-0. Aston Villa tried 9 dribbles in this outing and were able to convert 2 of those dribbles for a percentage of 22.2%. When talking about passing the ball, they ended the game with a 81.7% received passes rate by connecting on 254 out of their 311 pass targets last game.

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Regarding shot accuracy, Aston Villa finished at a 11.1% rate by landing 1 SoT out of 9 shots. Aston Villa is averaging 2.00 goals per 90 min (4 total goals) and have earned 2 assists in all matches this year.

Ollie Watkins is a guy who should be able to impact this match for Aston Villa. He has totaled 25 assists while tallying 30 yellow cards in his career. Watkins has been in the starting lineup in 212 contests thus far in his career while scoring 0.37 goals per 90 minutes. The forward from England has recorded 80 goals in 19,250 mins.

One more player who could decide who wins is Danny Ings, the forward born in England. Ings has 18,396 mins during 210 starting assignments and has been handed a total of 20 yellow cards. He has assisted on a goal 23 times in his career while scoring 91 total goals. He sports an average of 0.45 G/90 for his pro soccer career.

The man who will protect the net for Aston Villa will be Emiliano Martinez. Martinez has played for 9,859 minutes and has earned 372 saves in his career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.3 (139 total goals given up) and he has a save percentage of 74.3. The goalkeeper hailing from Argentina has had 505 shots tried against him in 109 starts. Martinez (41-25-43 mark in his professional soccer career) has accumulated 37 shutouts, which gives him a 33.9% shutout rate.

For their last outing, Brentford finished locked up with a final of 0-0 against Crystal Palace. They finished the match by converting 287 out of their 394 passing tries for a percentage of 72.8%. Brentford finished the match with a 58.3% successful dribble percentage by converting 7 out of the 12 dribbles they tried. Brentford converted 3 shots attempted out of 14 shots attempted which had them at a 21.4% clip in their last outing. Having accumulated 2 goals and 1 assist in all their matches, Brentford averages 1.00 goal and 0.50 assists per 90 min.

Sergi Canos should provide solid play for Brentford. The forward who is from Spain has been on the pitch for 10,512 professional minutes while scoring 31 goals. He has accumulated 21 yellow cards thus far in his career and has assisted on a goal 25 times. He scores 0.27 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 120 outings in his career. You should also watch out for Ivan Toney, the forward who is from England. He has scored 107 goals in his pro soccer career while assisting on a goal 34 different times. Toney has been handed a total of 58 yellow cards in 18,114 professional minutes (196 starting assignments). His G/90 average in his career is 0.53.

David Raya will be looking after the net for Brentford. Raya has tallied 54 shutouts while defending 752 shots tried against him in 18,360 mins in his career. He is the owner of a save % of 73.3 and his clean sheet rate sits at 26.5%. He has allowed 1.05 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 100-54-50. During his career, Raya has allowed 214 goals and has racked up 548 stops in 204 starts.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Brentford (+235)

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Aston Villa vs Brentford Prediction, 8/28/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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