AS Roma vs Napoli Prediction, 3/21/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/16/2021

Game: AS Roma vs Napoli

Date: Sunday, March 21, 2021

Location: Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: AS Roma (+116) Napoli (+238)

Lorenzo Insigne and Napoli (16-2-8, 5th in Serie A) are headed to Stadio Olimpico on Sunday where they'll take on AS Roma (15-5-7, 6th in Serie A). The goaltenders who are expected to start will be Antonio Mirante for AS Roma and David Ospina for Napoli. AS Roma are at +116 while the Blues are at +238. The O/U has been set at 3.

AS Roma stepped onto the pitch against Parma in their last game and ended up losing by a score of 2-0. AS Roma tried 32 dribbles in this matchup and were successful in 22 of those attempts for a rate of 68.8%. In regard to passing, they finished with a 87.1% passes received percentage by connecting on 452 of the 519 pass targets last match. Concerning shot accuracy, AS Roma walked away from the pitch at a 23.8% clip by landing 5 shots on target out of 21 total shots. AS Roma is averaging 1.85 goals per 90 minutes (50 goals in total) and have accounted for 38 assists in all contests for the season.

Edin Dzeko is a guy who can be a difference maker for AS Roma. Dzeko has had a starting assignment in 331 games in his career and accounts for 0.59 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Bosnia has totaled 201 goals scored in 30,864 minutes. He has totaled 61 assists while earning 54 yellow card cautions in his career. One more player who should impact this match is Lorenzo Pellegrini, the midfielder representing Italy. He has helped on a goal 26 times in his pro soccer career while scoring 20 goals. Pellegrini has played 10,842 minutes during 129 career starts and has earned himself 36 yellow card warnings. He is currently averaging 0.17 goals per 90 mins for his career.

The man who is expected to protect the net for AS Roma is Antonio Mirante. Mirante has seen the pitch for 36,714 mins and has accumulated 1,304 saves during his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.35 (552 total goals allowed) and he holds a save percentage of 70.6. The goalie from Italy has had 1,854 shots attempted at him in 411 starts. Mirante (127-112-168 mark in his career) has earned 123 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 29.9% clean sheet rate.

For their last game, Napoli earned three points by winning 1-0 against AC Milan. They wrapped up this match by connecting on 389 of the 439 passes they attempted earning a rate of 88.6%. Napoli finished the match with a 63.6% successful dribble rate by converting 7 of the 11 dribbles they attempted. Napoli converted 4 shots on target out of their 15 shots attempted which had them at a 26.7% clip in their last game. With a total of 55 goals and 38 assists in all their matches, Napoli averages 2.12 goals and 1.46 assists per 90 min.

Lorenzo Insigne should provide solid play for Napoli. He is currently averaging 0.37 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 275 games so far in his pro soccer career. The forward born in Italy has totaled 23,789 minutes while scoring 97 goals. He has accounted for 25 yellow cards in his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 78 times. Make sure to watch out for Matteo Politano, the forward who represents Italy. He has earned 46 goals so far in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 27 different times. Politano has been given 23 yellow card cautions in 15,771 professional minutes played (182 starting assignments). His goals per 90 average during his pro soccer career is 0.26.

David Ospina is expected to look after the net for Napoli. During his career, Ospina has allowed 297 goals and has earned 793 saves in 263 starting assignments. He has surrendered 1.14 goals per 90 and he has a record of 110-62-89. He is the owner of a save percentage of 73.2 and his clean sheet rate is currently 33.8%. Ospina has earned 89 clean sheets while defending 1,086 shots attempted against him in 23,431 mins throughout his career.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Napoli (+238)

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AS Roma vs Napoli Prediction, 3/21/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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