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AC Milan vs Benevento Prediction, 5/1/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/27/2021

Romelu Lukaku Inter Milan

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Game: AC Milan vs Benevento

Date: Saturday, May 1, 2021

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: AC Milan (-400) Benevento (+1035)

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza is the venue where Rafael Leao and AC Milan (20-6-7, 5th in Serie A) will take on Benevento (7-10-16, 16th in Serie A) on Saturday. The goalkeepers protecting the net will be Gianluigi Donnarumma for AC Milan and Lorenzo Montipo for Benevento. AC Milan are at -400 while the Sorcerers are at +1035. The total opens at 3.

AC Milan faced off with Lazio in their most recent match and ended up losing by a score of 3-0. AC Milan tried 23 dribbles in this outing and completed 11 of the attempts for a rate of 47.8%. In sharing the ball, they had a 88.2% rate by converting 508 out of their 576 pass targets in their last outing. In regard to shooting accuracy, AC Milan finished at a 31.3% clip by putting 5 shots on target of 16 shots. AC Milan sports an average of 1.76 goals per 90 min (58 total goals) and have accounted for 38 assists in all competitions this year.

Rafael Leao is a guy who can be a difference maker for AC Milan. Leao has had a starting assignment in 48 contests so far in his career and scores 0.42 goals per 90 mins. The midfielder who is from Croatia has racked up 21 goals scored in 4,499 professional minutes. He has accounted for 10 assists while tallying 8 yellow cards so far in his career. One more player who could decide who wins is Franck Kessie, the defender representing Serbia. Kessie has 16,822 mins during 191 starts and has been given 39 yellow card warnings. He has assisted on a goal 12 times during his career while he has scored 37 total goals. He averages 0.20 goals per 90 mins for his pro soccer career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for AC Milan is Gianluigi Donnarumma. Donnarumma has seen the pitch for a total of 18,641 minutes and has earned 589 stops so far in his career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.10 (228 total goals given up) and his save percentage is 73.5. The goalie hailing from Italy has seen 801 shots attempted against him in 210 starts. Donnarumma (104-53-51 record during his soccer career) has accounted for 66 clean sheets, which has earned him a 31.4% shutout rate.

When they last stepped on the pitch, Benevento walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 4-2 against Udinese. Benevento earned a 37.5% successful dribble rate by connecting on 6 out of the 16 dribbles they pursued. They wrapped up this outing by completing 402 of the 494 pass attempts earning a rate of 81.4%. Benevento had 6 shots on target out of their 20 shots tried which gave them a 30.0% clip when they last took the field. Having accumulated 37 goals and 23 assists in all competitions, Benevento averages 1.12 goals and 0.70 assists per 90 minutes.

Nicolas Viola should be someone to watch for Benevento. The midfielder representing Italy has been on the field for 22,126 minutes while scoring 44 goals. He has totaled 42 yellow cards during his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 41 times. He currently averages 0.18 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 250 contests so far in his career. Make sure to keep an eye out for Gianluca Lapadula, the forward representing Italy. He has scored 59 goals so far in his career while helping on a goal 17 times. Lapadula has been handed a total of 24 yellow card cautions in 11,064 professional minutes played (117 career starts). His G/90 average in his career is 0.48.

Lorenzo Montipo is expected to look after the net for Benevento. Montipò has earned 41 shutouts and defended 451 shots tried against him in 12,600 career minutes. He has earned a save percentage of 69.4 and his clean sheet rate sits at 29.3%. He has conceded 1.05 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a record of 54-41-45. Thus far in his career, Montipò has surrendered 147 goals and has earned 315 stops in 140 starts.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take AC Milan (-400)

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