Sweden vs Croatia Prediction, 11/14/2020 UEFA Nations League Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/12/2020

Game: Sweden vs Croatia

Date: Saturday, November 14, 2020

Location: Friends Arena in Solna, Sweden

TV: ESPN 3

Odds/Point Spread: Sweden (+173) Croatia (+148)

Friends Arena is the site where Marcus Berg and Sweden (0-0-4 in Nations League) will play Croatia (1-0-3 in Nations League) on Saturday. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Robin Olsen for Sweden and Dominik Livakovic for Croatia. The line on this matchup has Sweden priced at +173 and the Croatians are priced at +148. The total is set at 2.

Sweden has controlled possession of the ball for 45.3% of the time. Their players have been called on 52 fouls and have drawn 45 fouls for the tournament. They have attempted 41 shots at the opposition with 10 being on target, which comes out to a 24.4% shots on target percentage. Sweden as a team have earned 1 goal for this competition, which ranks them 52nd in the league.

Marcus Berg is a player who should impact this matchup for the Swedish. Berg has been in the starting lineup in 247 games so far in his career and he has earned 0.59 G/90. The forward from Sweden has accumulated 147 goals in 22,267 mins played. He has 40 assists while accumulating 47 yellow card cautions during his career. Another player who could decide the outcome is Kristoffer Olsson, the midfielder representing Sweden. He has helped on a goal 17 times during his career and he has scored 11 total goals. Olsson has played 10,994 mins during 126 career starting assignments and has been given 26 yellow card warnings. He sports an average of 0.09 goals per 90 so far in his pro soccer career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Sweden will be Robin Olsen. Olsen (96-49-31 mark in his professional soccer career) has totaled 59 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 33.1% shutout percentage. The keeper playing for Sweden has had 672 shots tried at him in 178 career starts. His GA/90 is 1.08 (191 goals conceded) and he has earned a save % of .729. Olsen has seen the field for a total of 15,987 minutes and has earned 492 saves so far in his pro soccer career.

The Croatians average 4.25 shots on target per 90 and have earned 6 goals thus far in the tournament. In their matches thus far in the tournament, they have controlled possession of the ball 51.5% of the game. Croatia has committed 46 fouls this tournament (42nd in Nations League) to go along with 39 fouls drawn. They have been able to connect on 42.5% of their shots on target on 40 shots.

Josip Brekalo should provide a spark for Croatia. The forward from Croatia has been on the field for 6,123 minutes and has scored 12 goals. He has tallied 6 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 11 times. He currently averages 0.18 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 65 games so far in his pro soccer career. You should also keep an eye on Nikola Vlasic, the forward representing Croatia. Vlasic has been handed a total of 12 yellow cards in 12,978 professional minutes played (150 starting assignments). His G/90 average thus far in his career is 0.24. He has earned 34 goals in his pro soccer career while assisting a teammate on a goal 28 different times.

Dominik Livakovic will be looking after the goal for Croatia. So far in his career, Livakovic has surrendered 188 goals and has accounted for 378 stops in 200 starting assignments. He has given up 1.13 goals per 90 while holding a mark of 98-38-64. He holds a save percentage of .673 and his shutout rate is 38.0%. Livakovic has earned 76 clean sheets and has defended 566 shots tried against him in 17,992 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's UEFA Nations League game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Croatia (+148)

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Sweden vs Croatia Prediction, 11/14/2020 UEFA Nations League Pick, Tips and Odds

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