Parma vs Spezia Prediction, 10/25/2020 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/22/2020

Game: Parma vs Spezia

Date: Sunday, October 25, 2020

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini in Parma, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Parma (+105) Spezia (+280)

Hernani and Parma (1-0-3, 18th in Serie A) play Spezia (1-1-2, 13th in Serie A) at Stadio Ennio Tardini on Sunday. The goaltenders protecting the net are Luigi Sepe for Parma and Rafael for Spezia. The odds on this matchup have Parma coming in at +105 and the Eagles are at +280. The total opens at 2.25.

Parma as a team have earned 4 goals this year, which is currently 16th in Serie A. They have launched 35 shots at their opponents with 13 being on target, which calculates to a 37.1% SOT percentage. Parma has controlled possession of the ball for 44.8% of matches while they have success at dribbling 60.9% of the time (13th in the league). They have caught 1,435 passes from teammates on 1,642 targets so far this season, making their receiving percentage 87.4%.

Hernani is a guy who should be able to impact this game for Parma. Hernani has been a starter in 107 outings during his pro soccer career and accounts for 0.15 goals per 90 mins. The midfielder hailing from Brazil has totaled 16 goals scored in 9,777 mins played. He has totaled 6 assists while tallying 35 yellow card warnings in his pro soccer career. Another player who could decide the outcome is Gervinho, the forward born in Côte d'Ivoire. He has helped a teammate on a goal 62 times during his career and he has scored 98 goals. Gervinho has played 29,513 minutes in 333 starts and has been handed a total of 33 yellow cards. He currently averages 0.30 goals per 90 minutes during his pro soccer career.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Parma will be Luigi Sepe. Sepe (57-40-50 mark during his career) has recorded 40 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 27.4% shutout percentage. The goalkeeper from Italy has faced 672 shots attempted against him in 146 starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.34 (197 total goals conceded) and he holds a save percentage of .728. Sepe has seen the field for a total of 13,199 mins and is sitting with 492 saves during his pro soccer career.

The Eagles have had success dribbling 61% of the time on the campaign while earning 5 goals. They hold a receiving percentage of 87.2% while controlling possession of the ball 44% of the time. Spezia has accumulated 1,592 targets for the campaign (15th in Serie A) with 1,388 successful received passes. The have hit on 33.3% of their SOT on 33 total shots.

Matteo Ricci will be counted on for Spezia. He has an average of 0.13 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 103 games during his soccer career. The midfielder representing Italy has played 8,895 mins while scoring 13 goals. He has totaled 32 yellow card cautions in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 9 times. Make sure to keep an eye out for Emanuel Gyasi, the forward born in Ghana. Gyasi has earned himself a total of 16 yellow cards in 4,625 mins (54 career starting assignments). His G/90 average in his pro soccer career is 0.21. He has accounted for 11 goals so far in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 8 times.

Rafael is expected to look after the goal for the Eagles. So far in his career, Rafael has allowed 242 goals while tallying 571 stops in 183 starts. He has surrendered 1.32 goals per 90 and he has earned a mark of 82-42-60. He has earned a save % of .708 and his shutout rate is 28.4%. Rafael has 52 shutouts while seeing 811 shots attempted against him in 16,523 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Parma (+105)

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Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: EPL Take Wolverhampton -185 over Leicester City (10 a.m. EST, Saturday April 26) We don’t mind laying the juice here and a -1.5 bet might not be a bad idea either, as Wolverhampton is in their best form of the season right now and should be extremely confident coming into this one against relegation-bound Leicester after a 1-0 road win over Manchester United last time out. That win secured their place in the Premier League next season and this team has been playing extremely well recently, with five straight wins. Leicester have nothing to play for as they will be relegated, and they have picked up only a single point in their last 10 matches. Wolverhampton seem to be building something special for the future, and we just don’t see them letting up here against an inferior opponent. Last meeting, in December, at King Power Stadium, Wolverhampton cruised to a 3-0 road win, with three goals in the first half. They could have had more but took their foot off the gas. We see a similar dominant performance here, and we had this line handicapped at -225, so there is value on the moneyline despite the high juice. Wolverhampton is not a public team, and that is keeping this line reasonable. Read More Read Less

Parma vs Spezia Prediction, 10/25/2020 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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