Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction, 11/22/2020 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/18/2020

Game: Napoli vs AC Milan

Date: Sunday, November 22, 2020

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (+137) AC Milan (+170)

Stadio San Paolo is the site where Hirving Lozano and Napoli (5-0-2, 3rd in Serie A) will play AC Milan (5-2-0, 1st in Serie A) on Sunday. The goalies expected to start will be David Ospina for Napoli and Gianluigi Donnarumma for AC Milan. The line on this matchup has Napoli priced at +137 and AC Milan are priced at +170. The O/U opens at 2.5.

Napoli faced Bologna in their most recent game and took home the win by a score of 1 - 0. In sharing the ball, they ended the game with a 84.4% rate by connecting on 438 out of their 519 pass targets in their last game. Napoli attempted 12 dribbles in this contest and converted 10 of those tries for a rate of 83.3%. In regard to shooting accuracy, Napoli wrapped this game up at a 21.1% rate by putting 4 shots on target out of 19 total shots. Napoli has an average of 2.50 goals per 90 (15 total goals) and have accounted for 12 assists in all competitions this season.

Hirving Lozano is a player who should impact this matchup for Napoli. He has totaled 36 assists while accumulating 30 yellow card cautions thus far in his career. Lozano has started 165 matches thus far in his career and accounts for 0.44 goals per 90 minutes. The forward born in Mexico has tallied 70 goals in 14,335 minutes played. Another guy who should impact this match is Dries Mertens, the forward born in Belgium. He has helped a teammate on a goal 116 times thus far in his career while he has scored 177 total goals. Mertens has been on the field for 31,561 mins in 353 starts and has been handed a total of 51 yellow card cautions. He currently averages 0.50 G/90 during his career.

The man who will protect the net for Napoli is David Ospina. Ospina has played for a total of 22,531 minutes and has 780 stops in his career. His GA/90 is 1.15 (288 goals given up) and he holds a save % of .734. The goalie hailing from Colombia has faced 1,066 shots tried against him in 253 starts. Ospina (104-62-85 record in his career) has earned 85 clean sheets, which gives him a 33.6% shutout rate.

When they last stepped on the pitch, AC Milan earned the draw by finishing with a tally of 2 - 2 against Hellas Verona. AC Milan finished the match with a 72.7% successful dribble rate by completing 8 of the 11 dribbles they tried. They wrapped up this match by completing 456 of the 528 passes they attempted earning a rate of 86.4%. AC Milan had 8 SoT out of their 33 shots attempted which had them sitting at a 24.2% clip in their last game. With 15 goals and 8 assists in all competitions, AC Milan averages 2.14 goals and 1.14 assists per 90.

Franck Kessie should provide a spark for AC Milan. He currently averages 0.18 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 166 games during his soccer career. The defender born in Serbia has earned 14,601 mins and has scored 29 goals. He has totaled 32 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 10 times. Be sure to keep an eye out for Zlatan Ibrahimovic, the forward hailing from Sweden. Ibrahimovic has been given a total of 94 yellow cards in 44,639 mins played (505 starting assignments). His G/90 average so far in his career is 0.76. He has totaled 376 goals during his soccer career while assisting on a goal 133 times.

Gianluigi Donnarumma is expected to look after the goal for AC Milan. Donnarumma has racked up 60 clean sheets and has defended 696 shots attempted against him in 16,301 mins throughout his career. He is the owner of a save % of .743 and his clean sheet rate sits at 32.6%. He has surrendered 1.07 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 89-49-44. During his career, Donnarumma has conceded 194 goals and has totaled 517 saves in 184 starts.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take AC Milan (+170)

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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #409 Kansas Jayhawks +1 over Baylor Bears (12p.m., Saturday, November 30 ESPN2) Kansas is one more win away from becoming bowl eligible and will enter this game in Waco having won 3 straight games and 4 of their last 5. Those have been impressive wins against Iowa State, BYU, and Colorado, all 3 are better teams than what they will see from Baylor on Saturday. Baylor will enter having won 5 straight games, but those came against bottom feeder teams in the conference. Take the road underdog in this game, as Kansas completes a remarkable turnaround to become bowl eligible. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top play winners in basketball, football, and hockey. Sign-up now and let 53 years of handicapping experience work for you. Read More Read Less

Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction, 11/22/2020 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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