Croatia vs Sweden Prediction, 10/11/2020 UEFA Nations League Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/10/2020

Game: Croatia vs Sweden

Date: Sunday, October 11, 2020

Location: Stadion Maksimir in Zagreb, Croatia

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Croatia (-121) Sweden (-108)

Josip Brekalo and Croatia (0-0-2 in Nations League) host Sweden (0-0-2 in Nations League) at Stadion Maksimir on Sunday. The men protecting the net are Dominik Livaković for Croatia and Robin Olsen for Sweden. The Swedish are at at -108 while the Croatians are priced at -121. The O/U opens at 2.25.

Croatia controls possession for 50% of games so far in this tourney. They have launched 16 shots with 6 on target, which is a 37.5% shots on target percentage. Croatia as a team have accumulated 3 goals this tourney, which is 12th in the league.

Josip Brekalo is a guy who should be able to impact this game for the Croatians. He has accounted for 11 assists while tallying 6 yellow cards thus far in his career. Brekalo has started 62 contests thus far in his career and he scores 0.18 goals per 90 mins. The forward hailing from Croatia has 12 goals in 5,900 mins played. One more player who should impact this match is Nikola Vlašić, the forward representing Croatia. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 27 times in his career while scoring 32 total goals. Vlašić has been on the field for 12,634 minutes in 146 starts and has been given a total of 12 yellow cards. He averages 0.23 G/90 so far in his career.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Croatia is Dominik Livaković. Livaković (96-37-64 mark in his career) has accumulated 75 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 38.1% clean sheet percentage. The goalkeeper taking the field for Croatia has faced 566 shots sent his way in 197 career starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.13 (188 total goals surrendered) and he holds a save % of .673. Livaković has been on the field for 17,722 mins and has 378 saves in his pro soccer career.

The Swedish hold an average of 2 shots on target per 90 minutes but have no goals so far in the tournament. In the UEFA Nations League, they maintain possession of the ball 42% of the game. They have hit on 21.1% of their shots on target on 19 total shots.

Marcus Berg will need to provide a spark for Sweden. He sports an average of 0.59 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 141 games so far in his career. The forward representing Sweden has totaled 22,111 minutes while scoring 145 goals. He has tallied 46 yellow card warnings so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 40 times. You should also keep an eye on Emil Forsberg, the midfielder taking the field for Sweden. Forsberg has been given a total of 13 yellow cards in 20,070 mins played (240 starting assignments). His goals per 90 average during his career is 0.32. He has accounted for 72 goals during his pro soccer career while assisting a teammate on a goal 57 different times.

Robin Olsen will be residing in front of the net for Sweden. During his career, Olsen has surrendered 189 goals and has totaled 490 stops in 177 starts. He has allowed 1.07 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 96-49-30. He holds a save percentage of .729 and his shutout rate is 33.3%. Olsen has 59 clean sheets while seeing 669 shots tried against him in 15,897 career mins.

Who will win tonight's UEFA Nations League game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sweden (-108)

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Croatia vs Sweden Prediction, 10/11/2020 UEFA Nations League Pick, Tips and Odds

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