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Benevento vs AC Milan Prediction, 1/3/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/30/2020

Gianluca Caprari Benevento

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Game: Benevento vs AC Milan

Date: Sunday, January 3, 2021

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito in Benevento, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Benevento (+380) AC Milan (-189)

Roberto Insigne and Benevento (5-3-6, 10th in Serie A) play AC Milan (10-4-0, 1st in Serie A) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito on Sunday. The starting goalies will be Lorenzo Montipo for Benevento and Gianluigi Donnarumma for AC Milan. AC Milan are at at -189 while the Sorcerers are at +380. The total has been set at 2.5.

Benevento stepped onto the pitch against Udinese in their last match and notched a win by a score of 2-0. When discussing the passing game, they ended with a 81.4% passes received rate by converting 275 out of their 338 passing attempts last game. Benevento attempted 12 dribbles in this game and were able to convert 9 of the attempts for a rate of 75.0%. In terms of shooting accuracy, Benevento wrapped this game up at a 44.4% clip by landing 4 shots on target of 9 total shots. Benevento is averaging 1.21 g/90 (17 total goals) and are sitting with 11 assists in all games this year.

Roberto Insigne is a guy who should impact this matchup for Benevento. Insigne has had a starting assignment in 112 matchups in his career and he has earned 0.26 goals per 90 mins. The forward from Italy has racked up 29 goals scored in 9,961 professional minutes played. He has accounted for 32 assists while tallying 19 yellow card cautions thus far in his career. Someone else who should impact this match is Gianluca Lapadula, the forward who represents Italy. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 17 times during his pro soccer career while he has scored 56 total goals. Lapadula has 9,786 minutes in 102 starts and has been given a total of 23 yellow card warnings. He is averaging 0.52 goals per 90 minutes so far in his career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Benevento is Lorenzo Montipo. Montipò has seen the field for 10,890 mins and is sitting with 258 stops so far in his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 mins is 0.86 (104 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save % of .728. The goalkeeper hailing from Italy has seen 357 shots attempted at him in 121 career starts. Montipò (52-34-35 mark during his career) has totaled 39 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 32.2% shutout rate.

In their last outing, AC Milan took home the win by a final score of 3-2 against Lazio. They wrapped up this match by converting 298 of the 370 pass attempts earning a rate of 80.5%. AC Milan had a 65.4% successful dribble percentage by completing 17 out of the 26 dribbles they attempted. AC Milan had 4 shots attempted out of their 12 shots attempted which had them at a 33.3% rate when they last took the field. Having accumulated 31 goals and 20 assists in all matches, AC Milan is averaging 2.21 goals and 1.43 assists per 90.

Jens Petter Hauge should provide a spark for AC Milan. The forward hailing from Norway has been on the pitch for 3,627 mins while scoring 23 goals. He has totaled 6 yellow card cautions so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 12 times. He currently averages 0.57 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 30 games during his pro soccer career. Make sure to keep an eye out for Franck Kessie, the defender born in Serbia. He has accounted for 31 goals during his soccer career while assisting on a goal 11 different times. Kessie has been handed a total of 36 yellow cards in 15,141 minutes played (172 career starting assignments). His G/90 average during his soccer career is 0.18.

Gianluigi Donnarumma is expected to look after the net for AC Milan. Donnarumma has earned 61 clean sheets and has defended 725 shots tried against him in 16,931 mins throughout his career. He sports a save % of .741 and his clean sheet rate is 31.9%. He has allowed 1.08 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a record of 94-51-44. So far in his career, Donnarumma has allowed 203 goals and has racked up 537 stops in 191 starts.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take AC Milan (-189)

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