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Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction, 10/4/2020 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/2/2020

Virgil van Dijk Liverpool

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Game: Aston Villa vs Liverpool

Date: Sunday, October 4, 2020

Location: Villa Park in Birmingham, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aston Villa (+731) Liverpool (-243)

Ollie Watkins and Aston Villa (1-0-0, 11th in EPL) host Liverpool (2-0-0, 4th in EPL) at Villa Park on Sunday. The starting goaltenders will be Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa and Alisson for Liverpool. Liverpool are at at -243 while the Villains are at +731. The total is set at 3.

Aston Villa has controlled possession for 72% of games while they dribble successfully 66.7% of the time (6th in the league). They have tried 18 shots at the opposition with 2 of them being on target, which means they have a 11.1% shots on target percentage. Aston Villa as a team have totaled 1 goal for the season, which is currently 19th in the league. Their players have received 519 passes from teammates on 601 attempts on the year, giving them a receiving percentage of 86.4%.

Ollie Watkins is one guy you are going to want to keep your eye on for Aston Villa. He has accounted for 20 assists while tallying 26 yellow card cautions in his career. Watkins has been a starter in 176 contests so far in his pro soccer career and he tallies 0.37 G/90. The forward representing England has totaled 66 goals in 16,012 mins. Another guy who should impact this match is Jack Grealish, the forward born in England. Grealish has totaled 14,264 minutes in 155 career starting assignments and has earned himself 32 yellow card warnings. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 25 times during his career while scoring 28 total goals. He currently averages 0.18 goals per 90 mins in his career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Aston Villa is Emiliano Martinez. Martinez has played for 6,349 minutes and has 232 stops so far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.28 (90 total goals conceded) and he has earned a save percentage of .731. The goalkeeper from Argentina has had 320 shots tried against him in 70 starting assignments. Martinez (25-18-27 record during his career) has earned 22 clean sheets, which gives him a 31.4% shutout percentage.

The Reds have dribbled successfully 65.3% of the time on the campaign while accumulating 6 goals. They hold a receiving percentage of 88.9% and they have controlled possession of the ball 54.5% of the time. Liverpool has 1,205 targets for the year (12th in EPL) with 1,071 completed passes. They have been able to complete 24.3% of their shots on target out of 37 shots.

Sadio Mane is a player who can be a difference maker for Liverpool. Mane has been given a starting assignment in 247 contests so far in his career and he scores 0.50 G/90. The forward born in Senegal has recorded 118 goals scored in 21,260 mins played. He has 53 assists while tallying 40 yellow cards in his career. Another player who could decide the outcome is Mohamed Salah, the forward hailing from Egypt. He has helped on a goal 56 times thus far in his career and he has scored 122 goals. Salah has 18,441 mins in 207 starts and has been handed a total of 9 yellow cards. He scores 0.60 G/90 in his pro soccer career.

The guy protecting the net for Liverpool will be Alisson. Alisson has been on the pitch for 12,819 mins and has earned 242 stops thus far in his career. His GA/90 is 0.72 (76 total goals allowed) and he has a save percentage of .772. The goalie from Brazil has seen 316 shots attempted against him in 144 starting assignments. Alisson (96-27-21 record during his career) has earned 70 shutouts, which has earned him a 48.6% shutout rate.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Liverpool (-243)

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