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Free Picks » Soccer Picks » Aston Villa vs Leeds United Prediction, 10/23/2020 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Aston Villa vs Leeds United Prediction, 10/23/2020 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/22/2020

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Game: Aston Villa vs Leeds United

Date: Friday, October 23, 2020

Location: Villa Park in Birmingham, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Aston Villa (+170) Leeds United (+150)

Ollie Watkins and Aston Villa (4-0-0, 2nd in EPL) host Leeds United (2-1-2, 10th in EPL) at Villa Park on Friday. The goaltenders who are expected to start will be Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa and Illan Meslier for Leeds United. The line on this matchup has Aston Villa priced at +170 and the Whites are priced at +150. The total has been set at 2.5.

Aston Villa has controlled possession of the ball for 47% of games while they dribble successfully 75% of the time (1st in EPL). They have attempted 58 shots at their opponents goal with 22 being on target, which calculates to a 37.9% shots on target percentage. Aston Villa as a team have totaled 12 goals this year, which is 5th in the league. They have received 1,288 passes on 1,544 attempts so far this year, which has earned them a receiving percentage of 83.4%.

Ollie Watkins is a player who should be able to impact this match for Aston Villa. Watkins has been given a starting assignment in 179 outings during his soccer career and he scores 0.38 G/90. The forward born in England has earned 69 goals in 16,282 professional minutes played. He has 21 assists while earning 26 yellow cards in his career. Someone else who should impact this game is Jack Grealish, the forward born in England. Grealish has accumulated 14,534 mins during 158 starting assignments and has earned himself 32 yellow card cautions. He has assisted on a goal 28 times thus far in his career while he has scored 31 goals. He sports an average of 0.19 goals per 90 mins during his pro soccer career.

The guy defending the goal for Aston Villa will be Emiliano Martinez. Martinez has seen the field for a total of 6,619 mins and has accumulated 244 stops thus far in his career. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.25 (92 total goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save percentage of .737. The keeper from Argentina has had 335 shots tried at him in 73 career starting assignments. Martinez (28-18-27 record in his career) has tallied 24 shutouts, which leaves him with a 32.9% clean sheet percentage.

Leeds United has totaled 2,447 pass targets for the season (11th in EPL) with 2,109 successful received passes. They hold a receiving percentage of 86.2% while controlling possession of the ball 57.2% of the time. The Whites have been able to dribble successfully 65.7% of the time this season while totaling 9 goals. They have connected on 46.6% of their SOT out of 58 shots.

Patrick Bamford should provide solid play for Leeds United. He is averaging 0.50 goals per 90 and has been given a starting assignment in 169 matches in his career. The forward from England has totaled 15,051 mins while he has scored 83 goals. He has accumulated 19 yellow cards during his career and has assisted on a goal 12 times. Make sure to keep an eye out for Helder Costa, the forward from Angola. He has accounted for 25 goals during his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 24 different times. Costa has been handed 14 yellow card cautions in 10,479 mins played (120 starting assignments). His G/90 average thus far in his career is 0.21.

Illan Meslier will be residing in front of the net for the Whites. In his career, Meslier has surrendered 45 goals while he has accumulated 31 saves in 43 starting assignments. He has given up 1.05 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 22-11-10. He holds a save % of .756 and his shutout rate sits at 39.5%. Meslier has racked up 17 clean sheets while he has seen 41 shots tried against him in 3,870 minutes in his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Aston Villa (+170)

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