Burnley vs Aston Villa Predictions, Picks, EPL Odds 9/28/2019

by Josh Schonwald - 9/23/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Villa Park

Jack Grealish and Aston Villa (1-1-4, 18th in the English Premier League) host Burnley (2-2-2, 9th in the English Premier League) at Villa Park on Saturday, September 28, 2019. The goalies expected to start are Nick Pope for Burnley and Tom Heaton for Aston Villa. Burnley are at at +236 while Aston Villa are at +120. The O/U has been set at 2.5.

Burnley comes into this game with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats putting them at 9th in the English Premier League. So far this year, they have converted a total of 8 goals which ranks them 8th in the league. Their goal differential is +1, putting them at 8th in the league. In connection with shots on target, they have a total of 22 which ranks them 14th in the league. As a unit, Burnley has earned a total of 56 fouls which has them averaging 9.33 fouls per contest. They have a total of 8 points for this year and they have an average crowd of 20,419.

Ashley Barnes is one of the standout players to watch for the Clarets. The forward from Austria has taken part in 364 contests in the time he's played professional soccer and has played 23,536 mins. Over the course of that time, the 29-year-old has tallied 93 goals and has assisted on 22 goals. He has a career average of 64.7 mins per game. Barnes has been a starter in 260 contests and has a total of 512 fouls over that period. In the matter of shots on target, Barnes has totaled 252 which has him ranking 27th out of all players still active and 19th among forwards. Ashley Westwood is another player to keep an eye on for the team from Burnley. The 29-year-old from England has racked up 21 goals in his career which puts him at 129th among active players in professional soccer. He has played 27,766 minutes in his career which puts him at 12th among active midfielders and averages 81.0 mins per appearance which puts him at 75th in professional soccer. In the time he's played pro soccer, he has totaled 74 shots on target which puts him at 63rd among active midfielders.

Looking after the goal for the Clarets is Nick Pope from England. He is 27 years old and has played a total of 11,709 mins protecting the net for his career. Pope has surrendered 0.97 goals per 90 minutes which has him ranked 5th among active goalies in the Premier League. During his time playing professional soccer, he's surrendered 126 goals. He has a career save percentage of .767 which has him ranked 2nd out of all active professional goalies.

Aston Villa will be looking to get a victory in this matchup and for the campaign they sit with 1 victory, 1 draw, and 4 defeats. When it comes to goal differential, they rank 12th in the EPL with -3. They currently have a total of 6 goals for 2019. Aston Villa has a save % as a team of .609 which has them ranked 16th in the EPL, which tells us scoring chances could be plentiful if they attack the goal. They have an average crowd of 41,643 which puts them at 8th in the EPL.

One of the scorers to watch for the Villains is Jack Grealish. The 23 year-old has drilled 20 balls past the goalkeeper in his career. He is ranked 53rd among active midfielders in assists with 21 and has a total of 67 shots on target. He has played a total of 11,491 minutes and is averaging 69.2 mins per game. Another good player on this team is Wesley Moraes. The forward from Brazil has a total of 31 goals over the course of his professional soccer career which has him ranked 53rd among active forwards. He also has committed 79 fouls.

In net for the Villains is Tom Heaton who has had an average career by allowing 1.22 goals per 90 minutes and that has him 12th in professional soccer. In the 29,470 mins he has played over the course of his career, he has given up 399 goals. He has a career save % of .719 which ranks him 9th among active goalkeepers in professional soccer.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Burnley (+236)

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Pick:	Wolverhampton -185
Start:	April 26, 2025 @ 10:00 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: EPL Take Wolverhampton -185 over Leicester City (10 a.m. EST, Saturday April 26) We don’t mind laying the juice here and a -1.5 bet might not be a bad idea either, as Wolverhampton is in their best form of the season right now and should be extremely confident coming into this one against relegation-bound Leicester after a 1-0 road win over Manchester United last time out. That win secured their place in the Premier League next season and this team has been playing extremely well recently, with five straight wins. Leicester have nothing to play for as they will be relegated, and they have picked up only a single point in their last 10 matches. Wolverhampton seem to be building something special for the future, and we just don’t see them letting up here against an inferior opponent. Last meeting, in December, at King Power Stadium, Wolverhampton cruised to a 3-0 road win, with three goals in the first half. They could have had more but took their foot off the gas. We see a similar dominant performance here, and we had this line handicapped at -225, so there is value on the moneyline despite the high juice. Wolverhampton is not a public team, and that is keeping this line reasonable. Read More Read Less

Burnley vs Aston Villa EPL Picks 9/28/2019

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