Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 4/27/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Sunday, April 27, 2025

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Capitals (-152) Canadiens (+126)

The Washington Capitals (51-22-9) are traveling to Bell Centre on Sunday where they will go up against the Montreal Canadiens (40-31-11) in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference first round. Washington leads the series 2-1. The moneyline on this game has the Capitals at -152 while the Canadiens are sitting at +126. The over/under has been set at 6.

The Washington Capitals had a rough game after their 6-3 loss against the Canadiens in Game 3. The Capitals played like an average offensive team in the defeat. In the game, they scored on 3 of the 21 shots they put on net. In addition, they had 2 attempts on the power play but weren't able to make the most of them. Washington accrued 24 minutes in the box in this contest.

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With regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Washington Capitals have accounted for 286 goals (2nd in the National Hockey League) this season and have given up 229. For the year, they have scored 111 points and their points percentage sits at .677. Washington has compiled 221 power play chances and they have added 52 goals during those chances, giving them a percentage of 23.53%. At even strength, the Capitals have surrendered 186 goals while having 234 themselves. Washington has tried 2,265 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 12.6%. The Capitals have had 2,229 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .897. Washington Capitals opponents have tallied 239 power play opportunities (9th in pro hockey) and have a total of 43 goals in those chances.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Logan Thompson. For his career, Thompson has accumulated 82 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .599. His save percentage is .912 for his 6,028 minutes on the ice. Thompson has seen 4,173 shot attempts against him and has recorded 3,804 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 369 goals versus Thompson in his career and his goals against rate is 3.67. He has compiled a win-loss mark of 87-38-17 and he has gotten the start in 137 games. Thompson has played in 146 contests over the course of his professional hockey career.

In Game 3, They had 5 power play opportunities in this game and recorded 2 out of those attempts. the Canadiens notched 6 goals out of the 40 shots on goal they attempted.

So far this season, the Montreal Canadiens are sitting with 243 goals, 91 points, as well as a points percentage of .555. They have allowed 261 goals to be scored by way of 212 goals at even strength and 49 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Canadiens have accumulated 196 goals at even strength and 47 goals (18th in hockey) while on the power play. They have a total of 234 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 20.09%. Montreal has attempted 2,095 shots (30th in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 11.60%, while allowing the other team 2,383 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 80.93% on the other teams 257 chances on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 89.0%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Sam Montembeault in goal. He has recorded 5,476 stops out of the 6,093 shots attempted, giving him a save % of .899. Montembeault has earned a career record of 80-84-28 and has participated in 206 games. He was named a starter in 188 contests and has been on the ice for 8,144 mins. Montembeault's quality start rate is 53.2% and he has earned 100 quality starts in his professional career. His opposition is averaging 4.55 goals per game and he has allowed 617 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Washington (-152)

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