Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, 3/11/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: Sportsnet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Golden Knights (-128) Penguins (+106)

The Pittsburgh Penguins (25-31-10) will try to defeat the Vegas Golden Knights (38-19-6) at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Golden Knights at -128 while the Penguins are at +106. The total comes in at 6.5.

The Vegas Golden Knights were on the losing side of the ice with a 6-5 loss to the Kings in their previous game. The Golden Knights had a solid offensive output in this defeat. For the game, they were able to notch a goal on 5 of the 32 shots they tried. They also had 1 power play opportunity and were able to notch 1 goal. Vegas recorded 7 mins in the box for this contest.

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While at even strength, the Golden Knights have conceded 142 goals while scoring 169 themselves. Vegas Golden Knights opponents have tallied 126 power play tries (32nd in professional hockey) and have a total of 30 goals in those chances. In reference to scoring goals, the Vegas Golden Knights have notched 212 goals (6th in hockey) on the year and have given up 172. Vegas has attempted 1,927 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.0%. For the current season, they sit with 82 points and their points % is .651. The Golden Knights have had 1,668 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .897. Vegas is sitting with 151 power play chances and they have notched 43 goals during those advantages, giving them a rate of 28.48%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Ilya Samsonov. The opposition has racked up 514 goals against Samsonov in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 3.18. Samsonov has participated in 196 games throughout his hockey career. His save percentage currently is .902 for his 9,704 mins guarding the cage. He has amassed a win-loss record of 117-47-23 and he was named the starter in 184 games. Over the course of his career, Samsonov has accumulated 92 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .500. Samsonov has seen 5,247 shots taken against him and has accrued 4,733 total saves.

In their last contest, Pittsburgh faced off against the Wild in a matchup where the Penguins took home the victory by a final score of 3-1. They had 2 power play attempts in this contest and scored 1 out of those opportunities. The Penguins netted 3 goals of the 22 shots on goal they took.

For the season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have earned a total of 186 goals, 60 points, in addition to a points percentage of .455. They have allowed 237 goals to be scored by of a combination of 200 goals at even strength and 37 goals while they were shorthanded. The Penguins are sitting with 142 goals at even strength and 44 goals (9th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They have recorded 182 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 24.18%. Pittsburgh has taken 1,894 shots (6th in the league) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 9.82%, while allowing their opponents 1,988 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 78.86% on their oppositions 175 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage is currently 88.1%.

Across the ice you are likely to see Alex Nedeljkovic patrolling the crease. He has gathered 4,522 saves out of 5,008 shots taken against him, giving him a save percentage of .903. Nedeljkovic has compiled a career record of 72-59-27 and has participated in 174 games. He was named a starter in 157 games and has accumulated 7,901 mins. Nedeljkovic's rate of quality starts sits at 52.2% and he has 82 quality starts in his career. Teams are averaging 3.69 goals per game and he has allowed 486 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+106) and under 6.5 goals

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