Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, 3/5/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights

Date: Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, NV

TV: Vegas 34

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+106) Golden Knights (-128)

The Vegas Golden Knights (36-18-6) are welcoming the Toronto Maple Leafs (38-20-3) at T-Mobile Arena on Wednesday. The odds on this game have Toronto at +106 and Vegas is coming in at -128. The betting total is set at 6.5.

The Toronto Maple Leafs had a decent effort after finishing in a 2-2 tie against the Sharks in the last game they played. The Maple Leafs didn't have their best offensive outing in this game. While out there on the ice, they converted 2 out of the 27 shots they put on goal. Moreover, they had 5 power play opportunities and scored 2 goals. Toronto had 9 penalty mins for this matchup.

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When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 137 goals while earning 156 on the offensive side of the ice. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have tallied 180 power play opportunities (8th in the league) and have come away with 37 goals in those chances. In reference to scoring goals, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 196 goals (9th in the National Hockey League) on the season and have given up 174. Toronto has taken 1,739 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.3%. For the season, they have recorded 79 points and their points percentage is .648. The Maple Leafs so far have had 1,782 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .902. Toronto is sitting with 170 power play opportunities and they have scored 40 goals during those chances, garnering them a rate of 23.53%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Joseph Woll. The opposition has scored 183 goals against Woll in his professional hockey career and his goals against average per game is 4.98. Woll has been involved in 68 contests during his pro hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .910 in his 2,206 mins guarding the cage. He has amassed a record of 42-24-1 and he has gotten the start in 65 games. Throughout his time in hockey, Woll has recorded 36 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .554. Woll has had 2,032 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 1,849 saves.

In their last game, Vegas played the Devils in an outing where the Golden Knights earned a win by a final of 2-0. The Golden Knights recorded 2 goals of the 24 shots on goal they tried. They had 4 power play opportunities in this outing and tallied 2 out of those opportunities.

The Golden Knights are sitting with 157 goals at even strength and 41 goals (10th in the NHL) while on the power play. Vegas has taken 1,843 shots (4th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 10.74%, while allowing the opposition 1,580 shots. During this campaign, the Vegas Golden Knights are sitting with 198 goals, 78 points, as well as a points percentage of .650. They have granted a total of 164 goals to be scored by of a combination of 136 goals at even strength and 28 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have earned 144 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play rate of 28.47%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 77.05% on their oppositions 122 power play chances, and their save percentage is 89.6%.

Across the ice you are expected to see Adin Hill defending the goal. He has gathered 4,194 stops out of the 4,614 shots attempted, which gives him a save % of .909. Hill has accrued a lifetime mark of 86-61-12 and has participated in 172 games. He has been a starter 159 contests and has been on the ice for 7,507 minutes. Hill's quality start rate comes out to 52.2% and he has 83 quality starting assignments in his professional career. The opposition is averaging 3.36 goals/game and he has allowed 420 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (+106)

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