Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 4/9/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Wednesday, April 9, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-132) Lightning (+110)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (45-26-6) will try to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs (47-25-4) at Amalie Arena on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has Toronto at -132 and Tampa Bay is coming in at +110. The total is set at 6.5.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 5-0 victory against the Blue Jackets their last time out. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive output and it showed in this win. For the outing, they were able to notch a goal on 5 of the 27 shots they put on net. Furthermore, they had 1 power play opportunity but didn't get a goal. Toronto amassed 14 mins in the box in this game.

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When discussing their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have notched 249 goals (7th in hockey) this season and have conceded 219. For the current campaign, they have recorded 98 points and their points percentage sits at .645. Toronto has 204 power play opportunities and they have notched 53 goals during those advantages, earning them a rate of 25.98%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs have conceded 171 goals while scoring 196 of their own. Toronto has tried 2,141 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.6%. The Maple Leafs thus far have had 2,230 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .902. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 220 power play opportunities (12th in the NHL) and have racked up 48 goals in those attempts.

The man in goal for this game is Joseph Woll. Opponents have tallied 203 goals against Woll in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 5.48. Woll has been involved in 75 games throughout his professional hockey career. His save percentage is at .909 for his 2,221 mins on the ice. He has accumulated a win-loss record of 46-26-2 and was named the starter in 72 games. During his career on the ice, Woll has accrued 40 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .556. Woll has seen 2,234 shots taken against him and has accrued 2,031 total saves.

When they were on the ice last, Tampa Bay faced the Rangers in a matchup where the Lightning took home the win by a final score of 5-1. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this matchup and scored 3 out of those chances. The Lightning had 5 goals out of the 23 shots on goal they pursued.

The Lightning are sitting with 218 goals at even strength and 56 goals (5th in hockey) while on the power play. Tampa Bay has attempted 2,203 shots (13th in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 12.44%, while allowing the other team 2,183 shots. For the year, the Tampa Bay Lightning are sitting with 274 goals, 96 points, as well as a points percentage of .623. They have permitted 199 goals to be scored by way of 163 goals at even strength and 36 goals while they were shorthanded. They have earned 218 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 25.69%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 81.63% on their opponents 196 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.9%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the goal. Vasilevskiy has accrued a career record of 330-163-33 and has participated in 537 games. Vasilevskiy's quality start rate comes out to 57.9% and he has accumulated 305 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has a tally of 14,700 stops out of 16,026 shots attempted against him, giving him a save % of .917. His opposition is averaging 2.82 goals/game and he has relinquished 1,326 goals in total. He was named a starter in 527 games and has played for a total of 28,196 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-132)

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