Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, 3/2/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Sunday, March 2, 2025

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: Sportsnet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-196) Penguins (+162)

The Pittsburgh Penguins (24-28-9) will try to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs (36-20-2) at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Maple Leafs at -196 and the Penguins are at +162. The over/under comes in at 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 5-4 victory over the Bruins in the last game they played. Toronto tallied 12 minutes in the box in this contest. Additionally, they had 4 power play chances and were able to net 1 goal. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive performance and it showed in this victory. While out there on the ice, they tallied a score on 5 out of the 29 shots they attempted.

Get all of our Free NHL Picks

Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have recorded 173 power play opportunities (7th in professional hockey) and have a total of 36 goals in those attempts. The Maple Leafs so far have had 1,691 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .902. Toronto has attempted 1,663 shots and has a shot percentage of 11.1%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 129 goals while getting 148 on the offensive side of the ice. Toronto has 160 power play chances and they have scored 37 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 23.13%. For the year, they have racked up 74 points and their points % is .638. Concerning their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have notched 185 goals (11th in hockey) this year and have surrendered 165.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Anthony Stolarz. In his career, Stolarz is sitting with 62 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .602. His save percentage sits at .916 in his 5,648 mins on the ice. Stolarz has had 3,515 shots taken against him and has recorded 3,221 saves. The opposition has been able to score 294 goals versus Stolarz in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per game is 3.12. He has compiled a win-loss mark of 55-36-11 and was named the starter in 103 games. Stolarz has been in net for 128 contests throughout his pro hockey career.

In their last contest, Pittsburgh faced off against the Flyers in a matchup where the Penguins ended up with the win by a mark of 5-4. The Penguins netted 5 goals out of the 25 shots on goal they pursued. They had 1 opportunity on the power play in this one but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.

The Penguins have racked up 134 goals at even strength and 41 goals (7th in hockey) while on the power play. Pittsburgh has tried 1,750 shots (6th in pro hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.00%, while allowing the other team 1,847 shots. This season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have earned a total of 175 goals, 57 points, in addition to a points percentage of .467. They have permitted 219 goals to be scored by of a combination of 185 goals at even strength and 34 goals while they were shorthanded. They have recorded 169 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 24.26%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 79.01% on their oppositions 162 power play tries, and their save percentage currently comes in at 88.1%.

Across the ice you will find Alex Nedeljkovic in net. Nedeljkovic has earned a lifetime mark of 72-56-27 and has participated in 171 games. Nedeljkovic's quality start rate is 51.9% and he has accumulated 80 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. He is sitting with 4,456 stops out of 4,934 shots attempted against him, giving him a percentage of .903. Teams are averaging 3.63 goals per game and he has surrendered 478 goals overall. He has started in 154 games and has played for a total of 7,894 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-196)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here