Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 4/26/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-150) Senators (+125)

Canadian Tire Centre is the location where the Ottawa Senators (45-30-7) will go up against the Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4) on Saturday in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference first round with Toronto leading 3 - 0. The moneyline on this contest has Toronto at -150 and Ottawa is at +125. The over/under has been set at 6.

In Game 3, the Toronto Maple Leafs were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 3-2 win against the Senators. Toronto had 12 penalty mins for this game. The Maple Leafs had a middle of the road offensive performance in the victory. Additionally, they had 2 chances on the power play and were able to score 1 goal. For the outing, they converted 3 of the 20 shots they tried.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 235 power play opportunities (13th in the league) and have tallied 52 goals in those attempts. The Maple Leafs so far have had 2,405 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .905. Toronto has taken 2,297 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.6%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have given up 177 goals while notching 213 of their own. Toronto has accounted for 218 power play chances and they have notched 54 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 24.77%. For the current season, they have earned 108 points and their points percentage sits at .659. Regarding their scoring, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 267 goals (7th in hockey) for the season and have surrendered 229.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Anthony Stolarz. Stolarz has taken the ice for 142 games during his hockey career. He has a mark of 64-39-12 and he was named the starter in 116 games. The opposition has been able to score 322 goals against Stolarz in his NHL career and his goals against rate is 3.40. Stolarz has seen 3,892 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 3,570 total saves. His save percentage is .917 in his 5,683 mins played. In his career, Stolarz has earned 72 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .621.

In Game 3, the Senators recorded 2 goals out of the 20 shots on goal they pursued. They had 4 power play attempts in this contest and recorded 1 out of those chances.

Ottawa has attempted 2,403 shots (8th in pro hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 10.07%, while allowing their opponents 2,346 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 77.73% on their opponents 229 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.1%. They have a total of 269 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 23.79%. The Senators are sitting with 178 goals at even strength and 64 goals (1st in the NHL) while on the power play. They have allowed 232 goals to be scored by way of 181 goals at even strength and 51 goals while they were shorthanded. On the campaign, the Ottawa Senators have 242 goals, 97 points, in addition to a points percentage of .591.

Across the rink you will find Linus Ullmark defending the goal. His opponents are averaging 2.96 goals/game and he has allowed 710 goals in total. Ullmark's quality start percentage comes out to 63.7% and he has 179 quality starts in his career. He has made the start in 281 games and has played 14,391 minutes. Ullmark has accumulated a lifetime record of 163-87-26 and has participated in 291 games. He has tallied 7,850 saves out of the 8,560 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .917.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-150)

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