Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 4/24/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Thursday, April 24, 2025

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-144) Senators (+120)

After losing their second straight, the Ottawa Senators (45-30-7) will compete against the Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4) at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference first round. The odds on this game have Toronto at -144 and Ottawa is coming in at +120. The betting total comes in at 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 3-2 victory over the Senators in Game 2. Toronto accumulated 8 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Maple Leafs had an average offensive outing in the victory. In addition, they had 1 opportunity with more players on the ice and netted 1 goal. For the game, they earned a goal on 3 out of the 21 shots they attempted.

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At even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 177 goals while getting 213 on offense. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have totaled 235 power play opportunities (13th in the league) and have come away with 52 goals in those attempts. In reference to their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 267 goals (7th in the National Hockey League) on the year and have conceded 229. Toronto has attempted 2,297 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 11.6%. For the year, they have recorded 108 points and their points percentage is .659. The Maple Leafs have seen 2,405 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .905. Toronto has compiled 218 power play opportunities and they have scored 54 goals out of those tries, earning them a percentage of 24.77%.

The man in goal for this game is Anthony Stolarz. Opponents have notched 322 goals against Stolarz in his professional career and his goals against average per game is 3.40. Stolarz has taken the ice for 142 games during his pro hockey career. His save percentage currently is at .917 for his 5,683 mins between the pipes. He has amassed an overall record of 64-39-12 and he has gotten the start in 116 games. Over the course of his career, Stolarz has accounted for 72 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .621. Stolarz has seen 3,892 shots against him and has recorded 3,570 total saves.

In Game 2, Washington had 3 opportunities on the power play in this matchup and recorded 1 out of those chances. The Senators had 2 goals of the 28 shots on goal they attempted.

Ottawa has taken 2,403 shots (8th in the league) and has earned a shot percentage of 10.07%, while allowing the opposition 2,346 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 77.73% on the other teams 229 power play tries, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.1%. They have recorded 269 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play rate of 23.79%. The Senators have earned 178 goals at even strength and 64 goals (1st in professional hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have granted a total of 232 goals to be scored by of a combination of 181 goals at even strength and 51 goals while they had less men on the ice. During this campaign, the Ottawa Senators have earned a total of 242 goals, 97 points, in addition to a points percentage of .591.

Across the ice you are expected to see Linus Ullmark in net. He is sitting with 7,850 stops out of the 8,560 shots attempted against him, giving him a rate of .917. Ullmark has earned a lifetime record of 163-87-26 and has participated in 291 games. He has started in 281 contests and has been on the ice for 14,391 mins. Ullmark's quality start percentage sits at 63.7% and he has qualified for 179 quality starts in his pro career. His opposition is averaging 2.96 goals per contest and he has surrendered 710 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Ottawa (+120)

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