Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 1/25/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-144) Senators (+120)

The Ottawa Senators (24-19-4) will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (30-17-2) at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Maple Leafs at -144 and the Senators are opening at +120. The betting total is set at 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs had a good night with a 5-3 win over the Lightning their last time on the ice. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive outing in this win. For the game, they finished 5 of the 28 shots they tried. Furthermore, they had 1 power play try and were able to net 1 goal. Toronto amassed 4 penalty minutes in this contest.

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Regarding their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 153 goals (9th in pro hockey) so far this season and have given up 142. For the current season, they have earned 62 points and their points percentage is .633. Toronto skates onto the rink with 138 power play opportunities and they have notched 30 goals out of those chances, garnering them a percentage of 21.74%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed 114 goals while getting 123 when they are on offense. Toronto has attempted 1,403 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.9%. The Maple Leafs have seen 1,419 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .900. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have totaled 147 power play opportunities (6th in professional hockey) and have a total of 28 goals in those chances.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Joseph Woll. Woll has been involved in 61 contests throughout his hockey career. He has amassed a mark of 38-21-1 and was named the starter in 58 games. The opposition has scored 164 goals versus Woll in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 4.50. Woll has had 1,825 shots against him and has recorded 1,661 saves. His save percentage is at .910 during his 2,188 minutes in the crease. Throughout his time in hockey, Woll has tallied 31 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .534.

In their last contest, Ottawa faced off against the Rangers in a matchup where the Senators ended up taking the loss by a score of 5-0. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this contest but weren't able to notch a goal. The Senators had 0 goals of the 20 shots on goal they attempted.

Ottawa has taken 1,378 shots (13th in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.51%, while allowing their opponents 1,281 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 77.94% on their opponents 136 power play tries, and their save percentage is 89.8%. They have recorded 149 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play rate of 22.82%. The Senators have scored 97 goals at even strength and 34 goals (7th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have allowed 131 goals to be scored by way of 101 goals at even strength and 30 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the year, the Ottawa Senators have earned a total of 131 goals, 52 points, and a points percentage of .553.

Across the ice you will find Leevi Merilainen patrolling the crease. His opponents are averaging 15.00 goals per contest and he has given up 27 goals in total. Merilainen's percentage of quality starts is 54.5% and he has 6 quality starts in his professional career. He has started in 11 games and his ice time sits at 108 minutes. Merilainen has compiled a career mark of 6-4-2 and has been in goal for 12 games. He has accounted for 266 stops out of the 293 shots taken against him, which gives him a percentage of .908.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-144)

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