Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Prediction, 2/28/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers

Date: Friday, February 28, 2025

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: MSG+

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-152) Rangers (+126)

The New York Rangers (29-25-4) will try to defeat the Toronto Maple Leafs (36-20-2) at Madison Square Garden on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Maple Leafs at -152 and the Rangers are priced at +126. The betting total comes in at 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 5-4 victory against the Bruins their last time out. Toronto recorded 12 penalty minutes in this game. They also had 4 power play chances and netted 1 goal. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive outing in the win. In the game, they scored on 5 out of the 29 shots they attempted.

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When discussing their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 185 goals (11th in hockey) on the season and have given up 165. For the year, they have accumulated 74 points and their points % is .638. Toronto comes into the game with 160 power play opportunities and they have scored 37 goals during those advantages, earning them a percentage of 23.13%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 129 goals while notching 148 themselves. Toronto has attempted 1,663 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 11.1%. The Maple Leafs thus far have had 1,691 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .902. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have totaled 173 power play opportunities (5th in pro hockey) and have a total of 36 goals in those chances.

The man protecting the net in this game is Anthony Stolarz. Stolarz has been involved in 128 contests during his pro hockey career. He has an overall mark of 55-36-11 and he started in 103 games. The opposition has scored 294 goals against Stolarz in his career and his goals against rate is 3.12. Stolarz has seen 3,515 shots taken against him and has gathered 3,221 total saves. His save percentage sits at .916 in his 5,648 mins between the pipes. For his professional hockey career, Stolarz has compiled 62 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .602.

In their last game, New York went up against the Islanders in an outing where the Rangers got the victory by a final score of 5-1. The Rangers converted 5 goals of the 18 shots on goal they tried. They had 1 power play chance in this outing but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal.

The Rangers have accumulated 145 goals at even strength and 31 goals (21st in hockey) while on the power play. New York has taken 1,693 shots (9th in hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.40%, while allowing the other team 1,779 shots. So far this year, the New York Rangers have 176 goals, 62 points, as well as a points percentage of .534. They have allowed 180 goals to be scored by of a combination of 150 goals at even strength and 30 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a total of 147 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 21.09%. They have a penalty kill rate of 82.35% on their opponents 170 chances on the power play, and their save percentage is 89.9%.

Across the ice you are expected to see Igor Shesterkin protecting the goal. He has compiled 6,967 saves out of the 7,586 shots attempted, which gives him a percentage of .918. Shesterkin has accumulated a lifetime record of 155-79-19 and has played in 255 contests. He has been a starter 250 contests and his ice time sits at 12,526 minutes. Shesterkin's quality start rate sits at 63.6% and he has 159 quality starts in his professional career. Teams are averaging 2.97 goals per contest and he has relinquished 619 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-152)

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