Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, 3/23/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights

Date: Sunday, March 23, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, NV

TV: Vegas 34

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+125) Golden Knights (-145)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (40-23-5) are on their way to T-Mobile Arena on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Vegas Golden Knights (40-20-8). The line on this matchup has the Lightning at +125 and the Golden Knights are sitting at -145. The betting total comes in at 6.5.

The Tampa Bay Lightning had a decent effort after finishing in a 2-2 tie against the Stars their last time on the ice. Tampa Bay compiled 8 penalty minutes in this game. Additionally, they had 1 chance with the advantage but didn't convert it into a score. The Lightning had a below average offensive outing in this game. For the game, they tallied a score on 2 out of the 38 shots they put on net.

Get all of our Free NHL Picks

While at even strength, the Lightning have allowed 148 goals while getting 188 themselves. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 173 power play opportunities (25th in hockey) and have tallied 31 goals in those attempts. In terms of their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accounted for 237 goals (3rd in the National Hockey League) over the course of the season and have conceded 179. Tampa Bay has tried 1,963 shots and has a shooting percentage of 12.1%. For the year, they have tallied 85 points and their points percentage is sitting at .625. The Lightning so far have had 1,925 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .907. Tampa Bay steps onto the ice with 191 power play chances and they have tallied 49 goals out of those advantages, giving them a percentage of 25.65%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Jonas Johansson. Opponents have scored 227 goals versus Johansson in his career and his average for goals against per game is 4.14. Johansson has taken the ice for 76 contests over the course of his professional hockey career. His save percentage is at .889 for his 3,286 mins played. He has compiled a win-loss mark of 30-25-11 and he was named the starter in 66 games. Throughout his time in hockey, Johansson has accumulated 27 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .409. Johansson has seen 2,051 shot attempts taken against him and has gathered 1,824 saves.

When they were on the ice last, Vegas went up against the Bruins in a game where the Golden Knights earned a victory by a mark of 5-1. The Golden Knights scored 5 goals of the 32 shots on goal they took. They had 3 power play attempts in this outing and tallied 1 out of those chances.

The Golden Knights have racked up 180 goals at even strength and 46 goals (10th in professional hockey) while on the power play. Vegas has tried 2,062 shots (5th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 10.96%, while allowing their opponents 1,795 shots. During this campaign, the Vegas Golden Knights have accounted for 226 goals, 88 points, as well as a points percentage of .647. They have granted a total of 182 goals to be scored by of a combination of 150 goals at even strength and 32 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have earned 159 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 28.93%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 76.81% on their opponents 138 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently comes in at 89.9%.

Across the rink you will find Ilya Samsonov patrolling the crease. The opposition is averaging 3.21 goals/game and he has given up 520 goals overall. Samsonov's quality start percentage sits at 49.5% and he has 92 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. He got the starting nod in 186 games and has been on the ice for 9,709 mins. Samsonov has amassed a career mark of 117-48-24 and has played in 198 contests. He has gathered 4,771 stops out of 5,291 shots taken against him, which gives him a save % of .902.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Vegas (-145)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here