Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 1/20/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Monday, January 20, 2025

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+125) Maple Leafs (-145)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (24-16-3) are hitting the road to Scotiabank Arena on Monday where they will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (28-16-2). The moneyline on this matchup has Tampa Bay at +125 while Toronto is priced at -145. The over/under has been set at 6.5.

The Tampa Bay Lightning had a decent effort after finishing in a 3-3 tie against the Ducks their last time on the ice. Tampa Bay recorded 6 minutes in the box in this outing. Additionally, they had 5 chances with the advantage and were able to net 2 goals. The Lightning had an average offensive outing in this game. In the game, they tallied a score on 3 out of the 35 shots they launched.

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While playing at even strength, the Lightning have conceded 101 goals while scoring 123 of their own. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have tallied 113 power play opportunities (26th in professional hockey) and have scored 20 goals in those chances. When discussing their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have racked up 156 goals (3rd in pro hockey) for the year and have conceded 121. Tampa Bay has tried 1,235 shots and holds a shot percentage of 12.6%. For the current season, they have 51 points and their points percentage comes in at .593. The Lightning have seen 1,230 shots attempted against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .902. Tampa Bay has accounted for 126 power play chances and they have notched 33 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 26.19%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Andrei Vasilevskiy. During his career on the ice, Vasilevskiy has 286 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .571. He has a save percentage of .916 during his 28,132 mins in the crease. Vasilevskiy has had 15,302 shot attempts against him and has recorded 14,023 saves. The opposition has scored 1,279 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 2.73. He has accumulated an overall record of 312-156-32 and he has gotten the start in 501 games. Vasilevskiy has been involved in 511 matchups over the course of his NHL career.

In their last contest, Toronto faced off against the Devils in a game where the Maple Leafs notched a win by a tally of 4-3. They had 2 power play attempts in this outing and recorded 1 out of those chances. The Maple Leafs earned 4 goals out of the 41 shots on goal they pursued.

Toronto has put up 1,312 shots (11th in the league) and has a shot percentage of 10.67%, while allowing the opposition 1,335 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 81.43% on the other teams 140 tries on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 90.2%. They have earned 130 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 20.77%. The Maple Leafs have 113 goals at even strength and 27 goals (14th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 131 goals to be scored by of a combination of 105 goals at even strength and 26 goals while they were shorthanded. Over the course of the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned a total of 140 goals, 58 points, as well as a points percentage of .630.

On the other side of the ice you will find Joseph Woll in net. He has racked up 1,602 saves out of the 1,760 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save % of .910. Woll is the owner of a career record of 36-21-1 and has been in net for 59 games. He has made the start in 56 games and has been on the ice for 2,183 minutes. Woll's percentage of quality starts sits at 53.6% and he has earned 30 quality starts in his pro hockey career. His opponents are averaging 4.34 goals/game and he has yielded 158 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-145)

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