Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, 1/12/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: Sportsnet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-196) Penguins (+162)

The Pittsburgh Penguins (18-17-8) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (22-15-2) at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Lightning at -196 and the Penguins are coming in at +162. The betting total is set at 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-1 win against the Bruins in their previous contest . The Lightning had a solid offensive output and it showed in the win. For the game, they tallied a score on 4 out of the 31 shots they attempted. Moreover, they had 4 chances with extra men on the ice and were able to notch 1 goal. Tampa Bay recorded 24 penalty mins in this game.

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While playing at even strength, the Lightning have conceded 89 goals while scoring 113 of their own. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have 104 power play opportunities (27th in professional hockey) and have scored 18 goals in those chances. In regard to their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 144 goals (4th in the NHL) on the campaign and have surrendered 107. Tampa Bay has attempted 1,111 shots and has a shooting percentage of 13.0%. For the current campaign, they have 46 points and their points percentage comes in at .590. The Lightning have had 1,110 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .904. Tampa Bay skates onto the rink with 117 power play chances and they have scored 31 goals during those chances, giving them a percentage of 26.50%.

The man in net for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. In his career, Vasilevskiy has compiled 285 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .572. His save percentage sits at .917 for his 28,124 minutes in the crease. Vasilevskiy has had 15,217 shots taken against him and has amassed 13,948 saves. Opponents have scored 1,269 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 2.71. He has accumulated a record of 311-155-31 and he started in 498 games. Vasilevskiy has played in 508 games over the course of his NHL career.

In their last contest, Pittsburgh squared up with the Oilers in a matchup where the Penguins ended up with the victory by a mark of 5-3. They had 1 power play chance in this contest and netted 1 on that attempt. The Penguins netted 5 goals out of the 26 shots on goal they pursued.

Pittsburgh has taken 1,222 shots (12th in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.80%, while allowing the opposition 1,361 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 80.00% on their opponents 120 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 88.6%. They have recorded 123 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 26.83%. The Penguins have tallied 99 goals at even strength and 33 goals (3rd in the league) while having a power play advantage. They have permitted 155 goals to be scored by of a combination of 131 goals at even strength and 24 goals while they were shorthanded. For the season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have a total of 132 goals, 44 points, and a points percentage of .512.

Across the ice you are likely to see Tristan Jarry in net. Jarry has compiled a lifetime record of 144-91-29 and has played in 276 games. Jarry's quality start rate sits at 59.2% and he has made 157 quality starts in his pro career. He has compiled 7,197 stops out of 7,910 shots attempted, which gives him a save % of .910. The opposition is averaging 2.96 goals/game and he has relinquished 713 goals overall. He has started in 265 games and has accumulated 14,461 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-196)

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