Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 3/13/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Thursday, March 13, 2025

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-122) Flyers (+102)

Wells Fargo Center is the location where the Philadelphia Flyers (27-31-8) will meet the Tampa Bay Lightning (37-23-4) on Thursday. The odds on this game have Tampa Bay at -122 and Philadelphia is sitting at +102. The total comes in at 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 4-1 loss against the Hurricanes in their previous contest . The Lightning had an offensive game that was below their expectations in the defeat. In the matchup, they converted 1 of the 24 shots they put on net. Additionally, they had 1 opportunity with more players on the ice but weren't able to net one. Tampa Bay recorded 12 penalty mins in this matchup.

Get all of our NHL Parlay Picks

Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have tallied 163 power play opportunities (25th in the NHL) and have racked up 30 goals in those attempts. The Lightning have had 1,839 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .906. Tampa Bay has attempted 1,842 shots and holds a shot percentage of 12.2%. While at even strength, the Lightning have surrendered 142 goals while scoring 177 as an offensive unit. Tampa Bay steps onto the ice with 181 power play chances and they have scored 47 goals during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 25.97%. For the season, they have racked up 78 points and their points percentage is sitting at .609. In terms of their scoring, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 224 goals (3rd in the league) on the year and have allowed 172.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Opponents have been able to score 1,314 goals against Vasilevskiy in his professional career and his average for goals against per game is 2.80. Vasilevskiy has participated in 528 games throughout his NHL career. His save percentage is at .917 in his 28,174 minutes in the crease. He has an overall mark of 323-161-33 and he started in 518 games. Over the course of his pro career, Vasilevskiy has tallied 298 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .575. Vasilevskiy has had 15,813 shots against him and he has 14,499 total saves.

Their last time out, Philadelphia faced the Senators in a matchup where the Flyers ended up taking the loss by a mark of 5-2. They had 2 power play attempts in this contest but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Flyers recorded 2 goals of the 22 shots on goal they tried.

Philadelphia has taken 1,794 shots (22nd in the league) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 10.26%, while allowing the opposition 1,778 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 78.13% on the other teams 160 power play chances, and their save percentage is 87.6%. They have a total of 173 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 15.03%. The Flyers have accumulated 158 goals at even strength and 26 goals (29th in the league) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 221 goals to be scored by of a combination of 186 goals at even strength and 35 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the year, the Philadelphia Flyers are sitting with 184 goals, 62 points, as well as a points percentage of .470.

Across the ice you are going to see Samuel Ersson defending the net. Opponents are averaging 4.49 goals/game and he has relinquished 265 goals altogether. Ersson's quality start rate is 51.6% and he has 49 quality starts in his professional career. He got the starting nod in 95 contests and has played for a total of 3,538 minutes. Ersson is the owner of a career mark of 47-34-11 and has played in 100 games. He has tallied 2,165 saves out of 2,430 shots attempted against him, giving him a percentage of .891.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+102) and under 6 goals

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here