Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 4/3/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Thursday, April 3, 2025

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-150) Senators (+125)

The Ottawa Senators (39-29-6) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (44-25-5) at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Lightning at -150 and the Senators are coming in at +125. The total comes in at 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 4-1 win over the Islanders in the last game they played. Tampa Bay earned 15 mins in the box for this matchup. Additionally, they had 4 power play tries but weren't able to net one. The Lightning had a impressive offensive outing in this win. For the game, they finished 4 out of the 24 shots they put on net.

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With regard to their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 266 goals (2nd in the NHL) on the season and have conceded 194. For the season, the have a total of 93 points and their points percentage sits at .628. Tampa Bay is sitting with 208 power play chances and they have added 53 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 25.48%. When at even strength, the Lightning have given up 161 goals while notching 213 of their own. Tampa Bay has taken 2,124 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 12.5%. The Lightning have seen 2,087 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .907. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have tallied 187 power play tries (24th in the league) and have racked up 33 goals in those attempts.

The man in net for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has played in 535 contests during his hockey career. He has compiled an overall mark of 329-162-33 and he has gotten the start in 525 games. The opposition has scored 1,323 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.82. Vasilevskiy has had 15,968 shot attempts against him and has garnered 14,645 saves. He has a save percentage of .917 during his 28,191 mins guarding the cage. For his career, Vasilevskiy is sitting with 303 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .577.

In their last contest, Ottawa faced off against the Sabres in a game where the Senators went home in defeat by a final score of 5-2. They had 4 power play opportunities in this contest but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. The Senators recorded 2 goals out of the 35 shots on goal they tried.

The Senators have racked up 157 goals at even strength and 55 goals (4th in the league) while on the power play. Ottawa has tried 2,169 shots (7th in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.77%, while allowing the opposition 2,108 shots. Over the course of the season, the Ottawa Senators have accounted for 212 goals, 84 points, in addition to a points percentage of .568. They have allowed 212 goals to be scored by of a combination of 164 goals at even strength and 48 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a tally of 236 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 23.31%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 77.25% on their opponents 211 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 89.9%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Linus Ullmark protecting the net. His opponents are averaging 2.93 goals/game and he has surrendered 702 goals altogether. Ullmark's quality start rate comes out to 63.5% and he has 176 quality starts in his pro career. He has made the start in 277 games and his ice time sits at 14,381 minutes. Ullmark is the owner of a career record of 159-87-26 and has been in net for 287 contests. He is sitting with 7,742 saves out of 8,444 shots attempted, giving him a save % of .917.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Ottawa (+125)

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