Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 3/20/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars
Date: Thursday, March 20, 2025
Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX
TV: Victory+
Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+125) Stars (-145)
The Dallas Stars (43-21-3) welcome the Tampa Bay Lightning (39-23-5) at American Airlines Center on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Lightning at +125 while the Stars are opening at -145. The total is 6.5.
The Tampa Bay Lightning were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 2-0 win against the Flyers in their last outing. The Lightning didn't have their best offensive outing in the win. For the outing, they converted 2 out of the 23 shots they put on goal. Furthermore, they had 4 power play opportunities and were able to notch 1 goal. Tampa Bay garnered 12 penalty minutes in this game.
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Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have amassed 171 power play tries (24th in professional hockey) and have a total of 30 goals in those attempts. The Lightning have had 1,901 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .907. Tampa Bay has taken 1,925 shots and holds a shot percentage of 12.2%. When at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 147 goals while scoring 186 on offense. Tampa Bay has tallied 190 power play opportunities and they have tallied 49 goals during those chances, garnering them a percentage of 25.79%. For the current season, they have racked up 83 points and their points percentage comes in at .619. With regard to their scoring, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 235 goals (3rd in the NHL) so far this year and have given up 177.
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The man in net for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. The opposition has racked up 1,316 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his professional career and his average for goals against per game is 2.80. Vasilevskiy has taken the ice for 530 games during his professional hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .917 during his 28,179 mins played. He has an overall record of 325-161-33 and he was named the starter in 520 games. In his professional hockey career, Vasilevskiy has accumulated 299 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .575. Vasilevskiy has had 15,846 shot attempts taken against him and has gathered 14,530 saves.
The last time they were on the ice, Dallas faced the Ducks in a matchup where the Stars ended up with the win by a final score of 4-3. They had 4 attempts on the power play in this outing and notched 1 out of those opportunities. The Stars recorded 4 goals of the 31 shots on goal they tried.
On the season, the Dallas Stars have accumulated 227 goals, 89 points, as well as a points percentage of .664. They have allowed 176 goals to be scored by of a combination of 148 goals at even strength and 28 goals while they were shorthanded. The Stars have earned 182 goals at even strength and 45 goals (10th in hockey) while on the power play. They have earned 199 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 22.61%. Dallas has attempted 1,947 shots (12th in the NHL) and has earned a shot percentage of 11.66%, while allowing their opponents 1,842 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 84.27% on their opponents 178 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.4%.
On the other side of the ice you are going to see Jake Oettinger protecting the net. He has tallied 6,021 saves out of 6,605 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .912. Oettinger has a lifetime record of 144-63-26 and has played in 242 games. He got the starting nod in 233 contests and has accumulated 11,161 minutes. Oettinger's quality start rate comes in at 58.4% and he has earned 136 quality starts in his NHL career. His opposition is averaging 3.14 goals/game and he has allowed 584 goals overall.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+125)
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Additional Resources:
Dallas Stars - Twitter
Tampa Bay Lightning - Twitter