Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes Prediction, 3/11/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes
Date: Tuesday, March 11, 2025
Location: PNC Arena in Raleigh, NC
TV: Fanduel Sports Network
Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+220) Hurricanes (-275)
The Carolina Hurricanes (38-22-4) will play the Tampa Bay Lightning (37-22-4) at PNC Arena on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Lightning at +220 while the Hurricanes are priced at -275. The over/under is 6.5.
The Tampa Bay Lightning were on the losing side of the ice with a 4-0 loss against the Bruins in their previous contest . Tampa Bay recorded 7 penalty mins for this game. The Lightning had a below average offensive performance in the loss. Additionally, they had 2 chances with extra men on the ice but weren't able to make the most of them. While out there on the ice, they walked away having not converted any of the 26 shots they tried.
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Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have recorded 158 power play opportunities (25th in hockey) and have scored 30 goals in those chances. The Lightning thus far have had 1,808 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .907. Tampa Bay has attempted 1,819 shots and has a shot percentage of 12.3%. While playing at even strength, the Lightning have conceded 138 goals while scoring 176 on the offensive side of the ice. Tampa Bay has accounted for 180 power play chances and they have scored 47 goals during those chances, earning them a percentage of 26.11%. For the season, the have a total of 78 points and their points % is .619. When discussing their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accounted for 223 goals (3rd in pro hockey) for the season and have given up 168.
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The man in net for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has participated in 527 contests over the course of his professional hockey career. He has compiled a win-loss record of 323-160-33 and he started in 517 games. Opponents have tallied 1,310 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his professional career and his goals against average is 2.79. Vasilevskiy has seen 15,782 shot attempts against him and has amassed 14,472 saves. His save percentage is at .917 in his 28,171 mins between the pipes. For his professional hockey career, Vasilevskiy has 298 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .576.
When they were on the ice last, Carolina squared up with the Jets in a game where the Hurricanes notched a victory by a tally of 4-2. The Hurricanes had 4 goals of the 27 shots on goal they tried. They had 6 power play opportunities in this outing and tallied 1 out of those opportunities.
The Hurricanes have 168 goals at even strength and 36 goals (20th in the league) while having more men on the ice. Carolina has taken 2,027 shots (2nd in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 10.06%, while allowing their opponents 1,599 shots. So far this season, the Carolina Hurricanes are sitting with 204 goals, 80 points, in addition to a points percentage of .625. They have allowed 173 goals to be scored by of a combination of 143 goals at even strength and 30 goals while they were shorthanded. They have earned 193 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 18.65%. They have a penalty kill rate of 84.13% on their opponents 189 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 89.2%.
On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Pyotr Kochetkov defending the net. His opposition is averaging 3.70 goals/game and he has yielded 248 goals altogether. Kochetkov's quality start rate is 56.3% and he has made 58 quality starting assignments in his career. He has made the start in 103 games and has racked up 4,018 minutes. Kochetkov has earned a lifetime record of 61-31-12 and has played in 107 contests. He has a tally of 2,431 stops out of the 2,679 shots taken against him, giving him a rate of .907.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+220)
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Additional Resources:
Carolina Hurricanes - Twitter
Tampa Bay Lightning - Twitter