Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction, 3/15/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins

Date: Saturday, March 15, 2025

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-210) Bruins (+172)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (37-23-4) are headed to TD Garden on Saturday where they will go up against the Boston Bruins (30-28-8). The odds on this game have Tampa Bay at -210 and Boston is opening at +172. The total comes in at 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look for better times on the ice after their 4-1 defeat against the Hurricanes in their previous outing. The Lightning had a below average offensive outing in the loss. In the outing, they converted 1 out of the 24 shots they put on net. Additionally, they had 1 attempt on the power play but didn't convert it into a score. Tampa Bay accrued 12 penalty minutes in this matchup.

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Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have tallied 163 power play tries (25th in the league) and have a total of 30 goals in those chances. The Lightning have had 1,839 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .906. Tampa Bay has taken 1,842 shots and has a shooting percentage of 12.2%. While at even strength, the Lightning have surrendered 142 goals while scoring 177 on offense. Tampa Bay comes into the game with 181 power play chances and they have added 47 goals during those chances, earning them a rate of 25.97%. For the current season, they have recorded 78 points and their points % is .609. Regarding their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 224 goals (3rd in the National Hockey League) for the season and have given up 172.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. During his career on the ice, Vasilevskiy has accumulated 298 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .575. His save percentage is .917 in his 28,174 mins on the ice. Vasilevskiy has seen 15,813 shots taken against him and has accrued 14,499 total saves. Opponents have scored 1,314 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.80. He has amassed a win-loss record of 323-161-33 and he has started in 518 games. Vasilevskiy has been in net for 528 matchups throughout his hockey career.

When they were on the ice last, Boston squared up with the Panthers in a game where the Bruins earned a win by a score of 3-2. They had 4 power play attempts in this contest and tallied 1 out of those opportunities. The Bruins had 3 goals of the 24 shots on goal they attempted.

Boston has attempted 1,812 shots (19th in professional hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 9.88%, while allowing their opponents 1,876 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 76.85% on the other teams 203 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently comes in at 89.1%. They have earned 198 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 15.15%. The Bruins have 149 goals at even strength and 30 goals (27th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 205 goals to be scored by way of 158 goals at even strength and 47 goals while they were shorthanded. So far this year, the Boston Bruins have accumulated 179 goals, 68 points, as well as a points percentage of .515.

On the other side of the ice you will find Jeremy Swayman in net. He has accounted for 4,524 stops out of 4,954 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .913. Swayman is sitting with a career record of 99-54-21 and has been in net for 179 games. He has been a starter 172 games and his ice time sits at 7,686 mins. Swayman's quality start percentage comes out to 61.0% and he has accumulated 105 quality starting assignments in his professional career. Teams are averaging 3.36 goals per game and he has yielded 430 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Boston (+172)

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