Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 3/25/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Tuesday, March 25, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (+106) Lightning (-128)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (40-25-5) will try to defeat the Pittsburgh Penguins (29-32-11) at Amalie Arena on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has Pittsburgh at +106 and Tampa Bay is opening at -128. The total has been set at 6.5.

The Pittsburgh Penguins had a decent effort after finishing in a 3-3 tie against the Panthers in their previous contest . The Penguins offense showed they have some room for improvement in this game. For the game, they scored on 3 of the 27 shots they put on goal. Additionally, they had 3 power play opportunities and scored 2 goals. Pittsburgh earned 4 penalty minutes in this game.

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In relation to their goal scoring prowess, the Pittsburgh Penguins have racked up 212 goals (15th in pro hockey) for the season and have conceded 255. For the current campaign, they have tallied 69 points and their points percentage is sitting at .479. Pittsburgh has 196 power play opportunities and they have added 48 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 24.49%. When at even strength, the Penguins let the opposition score 212 goals while earning 164 of their own. Pittsburgh has taken 2,038 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.4%. The Penguins have had 2,202 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .884. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have amassed 189 power play tries (19th in hockey) and have come away with 43 goals in those attempts.

The man in goal for this game is Tristan Jarry. Jarry has been involved in 285 games over the course of his pro hockey career. He has amassed an overall mark of 148-94-30 and he started in 273 games. Opponents have tallied 734 goals against Jarry in his professional hockey career and his goals against rate is 3.03. Jarry has seen 8,145 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 7,411 total saves. He has a save percentage of .910 for his 14,527 minutes played. For his professional hockey career, Jarry has compiled 161 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .590.

In their last game, Tampa Bay went up against the Golden Knights in a matchup where the Lightning went home in defeat by a mark of 4-2. The Lightning had 2 goals of the 37 shots on goal they tried. They had 4 power play opportunities in this game and scored 1 out of those attempts.

The Lightning have tallied 192 goals at even strength and 51 goals (6th in pro hockey) while on the power play. Tampa Bay has attempted 2,026 shots (9th in the league) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 11.99%, while allowing the opposition 1,980 shots. For the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have tallied 243 goals, 85 points, as well as a points percentage of .607. They have allowed 189 goals to be scored by way of 157 goals at even strength and 32 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a total of 198 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play rate of 25.76%. They have a penalty kill rate of 82.02% on their opponents 178 power play chances, and their save percentage is currently 90.5%.

Across the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy defending the goal. He has recorded 14,578 stops out of the 15,899 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .917. Vasilevskiy is sitting with a career record of 326-162-33 and has participated in 532 games. He has made the start in 522 games and has played 28,184 mins. Vasilevskiy's rate of quality starts is 57.5% and he has 300 quality starts in his career. His opponents are averaging 2.81 goals per contest and he has allowed 1,321 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+106)

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