Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 4/5/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars

Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Victory+

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (+126) Stars (-152)

American Airlines Center is the location where the Dallas Stars (49-21-4) will attempt to beat the Pittsburgh Penguins (30-34-11) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Pittsburgh at +126 and Dallas is sitting at -152. The betting total comes in at 6.

The Pittsburgh Penguins came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 1-0 win over the Senators their last time out. Pittsburgh tallied 4 penalty mins in this matchup. Additionally, they had 2 opportunities with more players on the ice and scored 1 goal. The Penguins had an offensive game that was below their expectations in the victory. In the game, they tallied a score on 1 out of the 35 shots they looked to score on.

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When talking about their goal scoring prowess, the Pittsburgh Penguins have earned 217 goals (19th in hockey) over the course of the season and have given up 268. For the season, they have recorded 71 points and their points percentage comes in at .473. Pittsburgh has 202 power play chances and they have notched 49 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 24.26%. At even strength, the Penguins let the opposition score 224 goals while having 168 as an offensive unit. Pittsburgh has tried 2,113 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.3%. The Penguins thus far have had 2,290 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .883. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have totaled 198 power play opportunities (21st in pro hockey) and have racked up 44 goals in those attempts.

The man in net for this game is Tristan Jarry. The opposition has racked up 742 goals against Jarry in his professional career and his goals against average per contest is 3.06. Jarry has been involved in 288 games over the course of his professional hockey career. His save percentage is at .909 for his 14,532 mins between the pipes. He has accumulated an overall mark of 149-96-30 and he has started in 276 games. In his professional hockey career, Jarry is sitting with 163 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .591. Jarry has had 8,195 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 7,453 total saves.

In their last outing, Dallas faced the Kraken in an outing where the Stars ended up with the win by a final score of 3-1. They had 3 attempts on the power play in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net. The Stars scored 3 goals out of the 31 shots on goal they attempted.

The Stars have accumulated 202 goals at even strength and 50 goals (10th in hockey) while on the power play. Dallas has put up 2,114 shots (14th in the league) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 11.92%, while allowing the opposition 2,100 shots. During this campaign, the Dallas Stars have earned 252 goals, 102 points, in addition to a points percentage of .689. They have permitted 187 goals to be scored by of a combination of 156 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have a tally of 222 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 22.52%. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 84.73% on their opponents 203 chances on the power play, and their save percentage is 91.1%.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Jake Oettinger in the crease. Oettinger has accrued a lifetime record of 148-63-26 and has been in net for 246 games. Oettinger's percentage of quality starts comes out to 59.1% and he has made 140 quality starts in his professional career. He has racked up 6,151 stops out of 6,741 shots taken, which gives him a percentage of .912. The opposition is averaging 3.17 goals/game and he has allowed 590 goals altogether. He has started in 237 games and has played for a total of 11,171 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas (-152)

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