Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 3/17/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Monday, March 17, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (+220) Lightning (-275)

Amalie Arena is the location where the Tampa Bay Lightning (37-23-5) will play the Philadelphia Flyers (28-31-8) on Monday. The moneyline on this game has the Flyers at +220 while the Lightning are sitting at -275. The total has been set at 6.5.

The Philadelphia Flyers had a decent effort after finishing in a 3-3 tie against the Lightning their last time out. Philadelphia accounted for 6 mins in the box for this game. The Flyers had a middle of the road offensive output in this game. They also had 2 power play chances but didn't get a goal. In the matchup, they netted 3 of the 29 shots they attempted.

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While at even strength, the Flyers have conceded 188 goals while earning 161 themselves. Philadelphia Flyers opponents have tallied 163 power play opportunities (26th in the league) and have scored 36 goals in those attempts. In the matter of their scoring, the Philadelphia Flyers have earned 187 goals (19th in the NHL) this season and have given up 224. Philadelphia has tried 1,823 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.3%. For the current campaign, they have earned 64 points and their points percentage is sitting at .478. The Flyers thus far have had 1,798 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .875. Philadelphia has accumulated 175 power play chances and they have scored 26 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 14.86%.

The man in net for this game is Samuel Ersson. Throughout his time in hockey, Ersson has recorded 49 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .510. His save percentage is at .891 during his 3,541 mins between the pipes. Ersson has had 2,450 shots taken against him and he has 2,182 total saves. The opposition has scored 268 goals against Ersson in his professional career and his goals against average per contest is 4.54. He has accumulated a mark of 48-34-11 and got the start in 96 games. Ersson has played in 101 matchups during his hockey career.

The last time they were on the ice, Tampa Bay played the Flyers in a matchup where the Lightning got the tie by a final score of 3-3. The Lightning recorded 3 goals out of the 20 shots on goal they tried. They had 3 attempts on the power play in this contest and netted 1 out of those tries.

Tampa Bay has attempted 1,862 shots (13th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 12.19%, while allowing their opponents 1,868 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 81.82% on their opponents 165 power play tries, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.6%. They have recorded 184 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 26.09%. The Lightning have earned 179 goals at even strength and 48 goals (6th in hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 175 goals to be scored by of a combination of 145 goals at even strength and 30 goals while they had less men on the ice. For the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a total of 227 goals, 79 points, in addition to a points percentage of .608.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in goal. Teams are averaging 2.80 goals per game and he has surrendered 1,314 goals overall. Vasilevskiy's rate of quality starts is 57.5% and he has accumulated 298 quality starts in his career. He was named a starter in 518 games and has played for a total of 28,174 minutes. Vasilevskiy has compiled a career record of 323-161-33 and has been in goal for 528 games. He has tallied 14,499 stops out of 15,813 shots attempted against him, giving him a save percentage of .917.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+220)

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