Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 4/29/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Tuesday, April 29, 2025

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+162) Maple Leafs (-196)

Scotiabank Arena is the site where the Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4) will compete against the Ottawa Senators (45-30-7) on Tuesday in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference first round. Toronto leads the series 3 - 1. The moneyline on this game has Ottawa at +162 and Toronto is priced at -196. The over/under is set at 6.

The Ottawa Senators were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-3 win against the Maple Leafs in Game 4. Ottawa accumulated 10 minutes in the box in this matchup. The Senators played really well in this victory. Additionally, they had 2 power play opportunities and were able to score 1 goal. In the game, they converted 4 of the 21 shots they put on goal.

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Ottawa Senators opponents have 229 power play opportunities (14th in the league) and have scored 51 goals in those chances. The Senators so far have had 2,346 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .901. Ottawa has tried 2,403 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.1%. While playing at even strength, the Senators have given up 181 goals while having 178 as an offensive unit. Ottawa skates onto the rink with 269 power play opportunities and they have notched 64 goals out of those attempts, earning them a percentage of 23.79%. For the current season, they have earned 97 points and their points percentage is sitting at .591. In reference to their goal scoring prowess, the Ottawa Senators have racked up 242 goals (18th in pro hockey) on the campaign and have allowed 232.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Linus Ullmark. Ullmark has been involved in 291 matchups over the course of his professional hockey career. He has compiled an overall mark of 163-87-26 and he was named the starter in 281 games. Opponents have tallied 710 goals versus Ullmark in his professional hockey career and his goals against rate is 2.96. Ullmark has had 8,560 shots taken against him and he has 7,850 total saves. His save percentage is at .917 in his 14,391 minutes in the crease. For his professional hockey career, Ullmark has accounted for 179 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .637.

In Game 4, they had 4 attempts on the power play in this outing but weren't able to score a goal. The Maple Leafs recorded 3 goals of the 34 shots on goal they pursued.

So far this year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 267 goals, 108 points, and a points percentage of .659. They have allowed 229 goals to be scored by way of 177 goals at even strength and 52 goals while they were shorthanded. The Maple Leafs have tallied 213 goals at even strength and 54 goals (11th in the league) while having a power play advantage. They have a total of 218 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 24.77%. Toronto has attempted 2,297 shots (19th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.62%, while allowing the other team 2,405 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 77.87% on the other teams 235 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.5%.

Across the ice you will find Anthony Stolarz defending the net. He has tallied 3,570 stops out of the 3,892 shots tried, giving him a save % of .917. Stolarz is sitting with a career mark of 64-39-12 and has been in goal for 142 games. He has started in 116 games and has played for a total of 5,601 mins. Stolarz's quality start percentage comes in at 62.1% and he has accumulated 72 quality starts in his professional career. Teams are averaging 3.45 goals per contest and he has relinquished 322 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa (+162)

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