Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 4/20/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Sunday, April 20, 2025

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+110) Maple Leafs (-132)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4) will try to beat the Ottawa Senators (45-30-7) at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference first round. The odds on this game have the Senators at +110 and the Maple Leafs are coming in at -132. The total comes in at 6.5.

The Ottawa Senators were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 7-5 win over the Hurricanes in their previous game. The Senators had a great offensive game plan going into this one and it showed in the victory. While out there on the ice, they tallied a score on 7 of the 32 shots they tried. They also had 9 power play opportunities and were able to notch 3 goals. Ottawa amassed 6 mins in the box for this game.

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Ottawa Senators opponents have amassed 229 power play opportunities (14th in pro hockey) and have come away with 51 goals in those chances. The Senators have had 2,346 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .901. Ottawa has tried 2,403 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.1%. When playing at even strength, the Senators have surrendered 181 goals while having 178 on offense. Ottawa is sitting with 269 power play opportunities and they have notched 64 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 23.79%. For the current campaign, they have accumulated 97 points and their points percentage is .591. When discussing scoring goals, the Ottawa Senators have accumulated 242 goals (18th in the league) this season and have conceded 232.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Linus Ullmark. Ullmark has participated in 291 contests throughout his hockey career. He has amassed a record of 163-87-26 and he has gotten the start in 281 games. Opponents have been able to score 710 goals versus Ullmark in his pro career and his goals against average is 2.96. Ullmark has seen 8,560 shots taken against him and has recorded 7,850 total saves. He has a save percentage of .917 for his 14,391 mins played. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Ullmark has accumulated 179 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .637.

In their last contest, Toronto faced off against the Red Wings in a game where the Maple Leafs notched a win by a final score of 4-3. The Maple Leafs tallied 4 goals of the 20 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this matchup but weren't able to score a goal.

The Maple Leafs have tallied 213 goals at even strength and 54 goals (11th in the NHL) while having a power play advantage. Toronto has taken 2,297 shots (19th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.62%, while allowing the other team 2,405 shots. For the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 267 goals, 108 points, and a points percentage of .659. They have allowed 229 goals to be scored by of a combination of 177 goals at even strength and 52 goals while they were shorthanded. They have earned 218 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 24.77%. They have a penalty kill rate of 77.87% on the other teams 235 chances on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 90.5%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Anthony Stolarz defending the goal. He has compiled 3,570 stops out of 3,892 shots attempted against him, giving him a save % of .917. Stolarz has amassed a career mark of 64-39-12 and has played in 142 contests. He has made the start in 116 games and his ice time sits at 5,601 minutes. Stolarz's percentage of quality starts is 62.1% and he has made 72 quality starting assignments in his pro career. The opposition is averaging 3.45 goals/game and he has relinquished 322 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa (+110)

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